USC travels to Autzen Stadium to battle Oregon in a game that suddenly has meaning. The college football week 12 odds have Oregon favored by 4.5-points to beat USC.
Both USC and Oregon are ranked in the Top 25 in the College Football Playoff. What it means is that both teams have a shot to get into a New Year’s Day Bowl Game. Oregon has a tougher path than USC does, but it could happen for the Ducks.
A Closer Look At The USC Trojans Vs Oregon Ducks College Football Week 12 Odds & Betting Preview
What: USC Trojans (7-3) at Oregon Ducks (7-3)
When: Saturday, November 21, 2015
Kickoff: 3:30 PM ET
Where: Eugene, OR
Stadium: Autzen Stadium
Weather: 52° F | Decreasing Cloudiness
Spread: Oregon -4.5
Moneyline: USC +163 vs Oregon -200
Game Total: 71.5
Stream: Watch ESPN
Listen: USC vs Oregon
Bet The USC Trojans Odds at +4.5 Because…
The Ducks are 1-3 ATS at home this season.
Oregon’s offense has suddenly come to life. QB Vernon Adams suffered an injury earlier in the season. Since coming back from the injury, Adams has been great. Oregon’s offense has scored 61, 44, and 38 points in the Ducks’ last 3 games.
“We’re definitely a different team than at the beginning of the season,” said Adams, who’s posted a 178.6 rating and thrown for 12 touchdowns over the four games. “We’re playing a lot faster and I’m a lot more confident in the offense.”
The 38 points were scored against Stanford’s excellent defense. USC’s lone chance is to control the clock in this matchup. USC cannot expect its defense to hold Oregon to less than 30 points. USC has to control the cock with its rushing attack, which averages 169.9 yards per game, and a short passing game. If USC can do that and can try and limit Oregon’s possession difference by at least 2 or 3, they might beat the Ducks in Autzen.
Bet The Oregon Duck Odds at -4.5 Because…
The Ducks are averaging 42.3 points and 538.5 total yards in their last four.
The problem with battling Oregon so late in the season is that the Ducks’ defense has improved mightily. The overall numbers aren’t impressive. Oregon allows 491.3 yards per game. The Ducks allow opponents to average 37.1 points per game against them.
“You turn on the tape and quickly get slapped in the face with how good USC is,” Oregon coach Mark Helfrich said. “Our guys will be excited about that challenge.”
But, Cal with their supposedly high-flying offense could score only 28 against Oregon in the Ducks’ 44 to 28 win 2 games ago. Stanford, who was a 10 point home favorite, could only score 36 against the Ducks’ defense. That seems like a lot of points until you realize that Oregon’s style is to gain more possessions than their opponents. Oregon wins by outscoring their opponents.
Expert Pick & Final Score Prediction
Will Oregon’s style work in this game? That isn’t likely. USC is one of the most balanced offensive teams that Oregon is likely to face. If the Ducks sell out to stop the run, USC will counter with short passes in the middle of the field.
These Pac-12 heavyweights are meeting for the first time since a 62-51 Oregon win at the Rose Bowl in 2012. The Trojans won 38-35 in Eugene the previous year. My final score prediction is USC 49, Oregon 42.