19th-ranked Southern Cal is coming off a 41-31 ‘upset’ loss against Stanford that wasn’t much of an upset to me – since I predicted it. The Trojans failed to cover the spread as a 9.5-point home favorite.
Quarterback Cody Kessler completed 25 of 32 passes for 272 yards and three touchdowns and hooked up with wideout JuJu Smith-Schuster eight times for 153 yards and one touchdown. Redshirt sophomore Steven Mitchell Jr. caught two touchdown passes, but the Trojans allowed Stanford to control the ball for almost 40 full minutes.
"It hurt the rhythm a little bit," Kessler said. "Some drives we had momentum but penalties killed us."
"We need to capitalize when we do get possessions," he added.
Arizona State rolled all over New Mexico in their Week 3 match to win 34-10 though they narrowly failed to cash in as a 25-point road favorite. Sophomore running back Demario Richard accounted for 255 total yards of offense by rushing for 104 yards while setting a school record for most receiving yards by a running back with 151 yards, including a 93-yard scoring play that ranks as the third-longest touchdown pass in Arizona State history. Senior quarterback Mike Bercovici passed for 317 yards and three touchdowns and rushed for another score to lead Arizona State to the easy win.
How I Am Betting The USC Trojans Vs Arizona State Sun Devils NCAAF Week 4 Spread
What: No. 19 USC Trojans (2-1) at Arizona State Sun Devils (2-1)
When: Saturday, Sept 26th, 2015
Kickoff: 10:30 PM ET
Where: Tempe, AZ
Stadium: Sun Devil Stadium
Weather: 102°F/Passing Clouds
Spread: USC -6
Moneyline: USC -220 vs Arizona State +180
Game Total: 64
Stream: Watch ESPN
Listen: USC Vs Arizona State
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Arizona State has won two straight against their Pac-12 rivals and I believe they’re the right pick to win and cash in again even though 55 percent of the betting public likes Southern Cal to cover the college football betting line.
Arizona State is 4-1 ATS in their last five home games against Southern Cal and 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings against USC overall.
58 percent of the betting public likes the Over, but I disagree, even though each of the last two meetings – and four of the last five overall – have all played Over the 63-point O/U Total for this matchup.
To summarize, I am picking Arizona State to beat USC as the smart bet in this game. Bet the SUn Devils moneyline at +180. My final score prediction is UCS 27, Arizona State 35.