Illinois vs. Ohio State College Football Odds and PredictionsJosh Bailey
Ohio State, currently ranked 13th in the nation, is one team that is in desperate need of an impressive victory in order to garner any Selection Committee looks, Ohio State has to dominate a team like Illinois whom they face on Saturday.
— Ohio State Buckeyes (@OhioStAthletics) October 28, 2014
The Illini are coming off their biggest win in recent memory, a 28-24 home win over Minnesota last week. They have not won two Big Ten games in a row since 2011. Speaking of streaks, the Buckeyes can match the conference record for consecutive Big Ten wins (20, by Ohio State 2005-07) with a win.
Illinois Illini at 13 Ohio State Buckeyes
When: Saturday, Nov.1, 8:00 pm ET
Where: Ohio Stadium, Columbus, OH
Betting Line: Ohio State -28
Series Record: Ohio State leads 65-30-4
Illinois vs. Ohio State College Football Odds and Predictions Analysis:
Ohio State’s offense is easily one of the best in the nation. It makes sense since their coach, Urban Meyer, has been known for fielding great offensive teams. He did it when he was at Utah and he did it when he was at Florida.
Ohio State’s offense averages 44.3 points and 499.4 total yards per game. It’s one of the most balanced offenses in college football as well. The Buckeyes rush for 254 yards per game and pass for 245.4 yards per contest. Ohio State had scored at least 50 points or more before the 31 to 24 victory over Penn State in their last.
There was the 66 to 0 whipping over Kent State as -31.5 points favorite. The Buckeyes then put a 50 to 28 bashing onto Cincinnati as a -17 points favorite. Ohio State followed up that performance with a 52 to 24 victory over Maryland as a -6.5s point favorite. They destroyed Rutgers 56 to 17 as a -20.5 points favorite.
What happened against Penn State? Ohio State was cruising, up 17 to 0 before QB J.T. Barrett threw a pick that Penn State ran back for a touchdown. Barrett had one of his worse days as a starting college quarterback. He threw 2 interceptions on the day and passed for a measly 74 yards.
Barrett should have a day closer to what he did versus Rutgers, 261 yards and 3touchdowns with no interceptions, versus Illinois on Saturday. Illinois’ defense allows 475.4 yards per game. It also allows teams to score 34.4 points per game on average.
Illinois’ offense only averages 28.5 points and 390.8 yards, which is why the Illini have been dreadful this season against the spread. Illinois is a terrible 3 and 5 ATS. There is some positivity to the terrible ATS record, though. Illinois has covered in their last 2 games. As a 27 point dog versus Wisconsin on the road, the Illini lost 28 to 38 to the Badgers.
Then, in their last game Illinois beat Minnesota straight up 28 to 24 as a 3.5 point home underdog. Could Illinois finally be putting things together enough to be competitive, at least form a spread stand point, in the Big Ten?
Maybe, they could. Illinois is 5 and 2 against the spread versus a team with a winning record while the Buckeyes are 1 and 4 ATS in their last 5 games following an against the spread loss and 0 and 4 against the spread in their last 4 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Illinois has been playing competitive football and 4 touchdowns is a lot. Ohio State should be pressing and that could work to the Illini’s favor.
College Football Week 10 Pick: Illinois Illini +28