Kansas State vs West Virginia Thursday Night Football BettingJosh Bailey
Kansas State travels to West Virginia to battle one of their top Big 12 rivals in a game that could go a long way in determining in which bowl game each respective squad plays.
K-State lost their second game of the season against TCU in their last while Texas upset West Virginia in the Morgantown team’s last matchup. Who will come out on top this Thursday night?
No. 11 Kansas State Wildcats at West Virginia Mountaineers
When: Thursday, Nov. 20 at 7:00 pm ET
Where: Milan Puskar Stadium, Morgantown, West Virginia
Betting Line: West Virginia -2.5
— K-State Athletics (@kstatesports) November 17, 2014
Analyzing My Kansas State vs West Virginia Thursday Night Football Betting Pick
The Kansas State Wildcats have been one of the best teams in college football so far this season. But things really haven’t gone their way. A close loss to Auburn earlier this season isn’t looking as solid after Auburn has dropped 3 of their last 5 games straight up. The win over Oklahoma was impressive until Baylor beat Oklahoma 48 to 14.
A victory over West Virginia on the road might still garner K-State brownie points because West Virginia did upset Baylor at home and the Mountaineers are the favorites in the game. Kansas State has an extremely balanced offense. The team rushed for 157.3 yards per game on average and throws for 265.2 yards. K-State scores 36.2 points.
The Wildcats defense is one of the better units in the Big 12. Opponents only average 21 points and 346.8 yards per game. Kansas State holds teams to 126 yards per matchup on the ground. This is in contrast to West Virginia’s offense, which yields 180 yards per game on the ground and 203.7 yards per game through the air. West Virginia also gives up 26.4 points per game.
Offensively, the Mountaineers average over 500 yards per game. They score 34 per contest, but West Virginia has lost their last 2 games by a combined 64 to 46 score. West Virginia had TCU on the ropes, but they let that rival escape with a 31 to 30 win. Then, against Texas, the Mountaineers simply lied down and let the Longhorns steamroll over them. Texas beat West Virginia 33 to 16.
Based on the trends, Kansas State could upset West Virginia outright in this game. The Wildcats are 15 and 3 against the spread in their last 18 games following a straight up loss, 6 and 1 ATS in their last 7 games overall and 20-6-1 against the spread versus a team with a winning record. West Virginia is 4 and 10 against the spread in their last 14 conference games, 1 and 4 against the spread in their last 5 games following an against the spread loss and 0 and 7 against the spread in their last 7 games following a bye week.
It’s tough to look past Kansas State in this game. The Wildcats have the edge when it comes to the trends, but they also have the edge defensively since they give up less yards per game on the ground than West Virginia does. West Virginia’s defense plays tough, but it figures to be worn down by the time that the fourth quarter rolls around.
Once that happens, Kansas State should win the game outright, which means that they will cover the spread.
Thursday Night Football Betting Pick: Kansas State +2.5