Las Vegas Bowl Odds Houston Vs San Diego StateNoah Williams
The 25th annual Las Vegas Bowl will have an interesting matchup between the Houston Cougars and the Mountain West champion, San Diego State Aztecs. The college football Las Vegas Bowl odds favor the Cougars by 3.5-points. Kick-off is this Saturday, December 17th at 3:30 PM ET on ABC from the Sam Boyd Stadium, in Las Vegas, Nevada.
— Las Vegas Bowl (@LasVegasBowl) December 5, 2016
Houston Cougars Vs San Diego State Aztecs Las Vegas Bowl Odds & Pick
What: Las Vegas Bowl
Who: Houston Cougars (9-3) vs San Diego State Aztecs (10-3)
When: Saturday, December 17, 2016
Start Time: 3:30 PM ET
Where: Las Vegas, NV
Stadium: Sam Boyd Stadium
Spread: Houston -3.5
Moneyline: San Diego State +135 vs Houston -155
Game Total: 54.5
Stream: Watch ESPN
Listen: Houston vs San Diego
Why Bet The Houston Cougars To Beat San Diego State
The Houston Cougars are 9-3 SU and 5-7 ATS this season. They average 37.2 points per game (22nd) and allow 22.6 points per game (27th). Houston promoted offensive coordinator Major Applewhite to become coach after Tom Herman departed to become Texas coach. Defensive coordinator Todd Orlando, who had been serving as the interim coach since Herman accepted the Texas job Nov. 26, assumes his usual duties as defensive coordinator and then is expected to join Herman at Texas.
The Cougars average 301.9 passing yards per game (15th). Senior QB Greg Ward Jr. (3328 yards, 22 TDs & 9 INTs) has thrown eight touchdowns and just one interception in his last three games. Junior WR Linell Bonner (93 rec, 1076 yards, 3 TDs) can put up the yards but is not a red zone threat. Senior WR Chance Allen (56 rec, 815 yards, 6 TDs) has caught four of his six touchdowns in the last three games. Houston is not a rushing team and averages 157.3 rushing yards per game (87th). The Cougars top rusher is QB Ward Jr. (175 car, 518 yards, 9 TDs).
Houston has the 10th-ranked total defense in College Football. They have allowed 227.1 passing yards per game (66th) and 97.9 rushing yards (3rd).
Why Bet The San Diego State Aztecs To Beat Houston
The San Diego State Aztecs are 10-3 SU and 6-6-1 ATS this season. They average 35.5 points per game (30th) and give up 21.0 points per game (19th).
“I’m thankful for the players in our program, because we are one of only 18 teams in the country that have nine wins or more right now,” head coach Rocky Long said. “Over the last 39 years there’s only been four San Diego State football teams that have won nine games or more, and they’ve all been in the last six years.
San Diego averages 145.8 passing yards per game (119th). Sophomore QB Christian Chapman (1866 yards, 19 TDs & 6 INTs) will try to bounce back after a bad game against Wyoming. He only completed six of 13 passes for 85 yards against the Cowboys. He was intercepted once. Junior WR Mikah Holder (26 rec, 569 yards, 5 TDs) leads the team in receiving yards and averages 21.9 yards per catch.
The Aztecs average 273.0 rushing yards per game (7th). RB Donnel Pumphrey (330 car, 2018 yards, 16 TDs) has the second most rushing yards in the nation. Standing 5 feet 9 and weighing 165 pounds, Pumphrey was considered too small to play running back by many schools coming out of Canyon Springs High School in North Las Vegas. He needs 108 yards to surpass Wisconsin’s Ron Dayne (6,397) as the all-time leading career rusher in FBS history.
The Aztecs have the 17th total defense in the country. San Diego gives up 208.2 passing yards per game (40th) and 111.9 rushing yards per game (11th).
Betting Trends for this matchup:
- San Diego State is 15-7-1 ATS in its last 23 games
- San Diego State is 20-3 SU in its last 23 games
- Houston is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games
- Houston is 21-4 SU in its last 25 games
How To Bet The Las Vegas Bowl
Neither team was a strong season long against the spread betting pick this season, but I favor Houston’s chance to cover the odds in this tilt thanks to what has to be some extra incentive for coach Applewhite to light up the scoreboard and carry some extra juice into the offseason. San Diego State fielded a top-25 defense this season, but much of its success came against teams that did not finish with a winning record.
My final score prediction is Houston 40, San Diego State 31.