The Louisville Cardinals will look to pick up a much-needed win over struggling Wake Forest when the two rivals square off in their Week 8 ACC showdown on Friday, but they’re facing some fairly daunting odds as a double-digit road favorite.
Now, let’s find out if the Cards have what it takes to cover the college football week 9 betting spread against a desperate Wake Forest team.
Louisville Cardinals at Wake Forest Demon Deacons College Football Week 9 Line & Betting Analysis
What: Louisville Cardinals (3-4) at Wake Forest Demon Deacons (3-5)
When: Friday, October 30, 2015
Kickoff: 7:00 PM ET
Where: Winston-salem, NC
Stadium: BB&T Field
Weather: 62° F | More Sun Than Clouds
Spread: Louisville -11.5
Moneyline: Louisville -455 vs Wake Forest +350
Game Total: 42
Watch: ESPN 2
Stream: Watch ESPN
Listen: Louisville vs Wake Forest
Bet The Louisville Cardinals at -12 because…
Louisville bounced back from their Week 7 loss against Florida State to beat Boston College 17-14 on Saturday despite failing to cover the spread as a 7-point home favorite.
Quarterback Lamar Jackson completed 15 of 25 passes for 230 yards, but tossed two costly interceptions in the narrow win, though he did add one rushing score. The Cardinals got a fine effort from their defense in shutting out BC in the first and final quarters while limiting the Eagles to a woeful 1-for-14 success rate on third downs and winning the time of possession battle by nearly 10 full minutes.
The Cardinals average 25.0 points per game (91st) while limiting their opponents to just 22.3 points per game defensively (38th).
Bet The Wake Forest Demon Deacons at +12 Because…
Wake Forest has gotten smacked around pretty good in losing each of their last two games, including their 35-17 Week 8 loss against NC State.
Quarterback Kendall Hilton was limited to 12 of 22 passing for 107 with no touchdowns or interceptions while adding 75 yards and two scores on 13 carries.
The Demon Deacons had no answer for gifted signal-caller Jacoby Brissett as the Wolf Pack quarterback completed 20 of 34 passes for 227 yards with two touchdowns. Wake Forest also allowed N.C. State running back Matt Dayes to rush for a jaw-dropping 205 yards and two touchdowns on just 16 carries.
The Demon Deacons are ranked a dismal 119th in scoring (18.6 ppg), though they have been pretty outstanding defensively in limiting their opponents to just 23.4 points per game (46th).
Expert Pick & Final Score Prediction
67 percent of public bettors like Louisville to get the job done in this Week 8 matchup and so do I, even though I’m not particularly enamored with the double-digit spread.
The Cardinals are playing solid ball right now and are really the better team in this contest on both sides of the ball. Louisville has held three of its last four opponents to 14 points or less and I expect a similar effort against a talent-challenged Wake Forest team.
Louisville has compiled a terrific 26-9 ATS mark in their last 35 road games while also going 19-8 ATS in their last 27 conference games.
Wake Forest is 5-2 ATS in their last seven home games but just 2-5 ATS in their L/7 games overall and a winless 0-4 ATS in their last four games against a team with a losing record.
I am picking the Louisville Cardinals to beat the Wake Forest Demon Deacons as the smart college football week 9 bet.