College football betting amps up in November as NCAA Conference play heats up as in this Week 11 game with LSU traveling to play Arkansas. This 7 pm ET kickoff is at Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium this Saturday, November 12th in Fayetteville, Arkansas.
LSU isn’t having the best year with a 5-3 record (3-2 SEC) ranking 4th in the SEC West, losing Les Myles and only posting a 3-5-0 record against the spread. Arkansas is 6-3 straight up on the season while doing worse ATS at 4-5 so far in 2016. Keep reading for my LSU vs Arkansas betting tips.
LSU Tigers Vs Arkansas Razorbacks Betting Tips
Arkansas opened as a +6.0 home dog hosting LSU. This game has some early exposure betting on the LSU Tigers raising the point-spread to Tigers -7.0. The over under total for the game is 45.5, and I expect that to go down.
What: No. 19 LSU Tigers (5-3) at Arkansas Razorbacks (6-3)
When: Saturday, November 12, 2016
Start Time: 7:00 PM ET
Where: Fayetteville, AR
Stadium: Razorback Stadium
Spread: LSU -7
Moneyline: LSU -275 Vs Arkansas +235
Game Total: 46.5
Stream: Watch ESPN
Listen: LSU vs Arkansas
Bet on LSU -7.0 Because…
LSU’s defense will shut down the Arkansas passing and rushing attack with the 13th ranked overall defense in the FBS allowing 118.1 yards rushing and less than 200 yards passing per game. They just finished holding the Alabama Crimson Tide to 10 points last week in a loss showing their strength.
The fact that LSU ranks a respectable No. 34 in NCAA Rushing offense means even more when your opponent happens to be the Arkansas Razorbacks, who are giving up that hog for almost 200 yards a game on average as the 91st ranked rush defense. Expect Leonard Fournette to run for 175 yards plus in a dominant victory.
“When we took over the team, we didn’t talk about any goals,” head coach Orgeron said. “We were going to play with energy. We were going to play with excitement, and we were going to play one game at a time and none of that has changed.
“There was no talk of championships, there was no talk about the future. There was talk about let’s practice better today. Let’s take care of the day, and let’s take it one game at a time, and that remains.”
Bet on Arkansas +7.0 Because…
The Razorbacks get LSU at home as a full touchdown underdog after schooling Florida at home last week in a dominating 31-10 victory. This Florida win was after an away game at Auburn 2 weeks before getting drubbed 56-3, so it seems home is where the heart is (AND THE MONEY!).
The Razorbacks have a unique niche where they seem to perform above alleged expectations by our College Football Odds makers. When Arkansas are underdogs getting 3.5 to 10 points ATS they are 8-2 in the last 3 years and 2-1 this year. They are also a November team it seems with a 7-2 record ATS the last 3 years including the win against Florida last week both SU and ATS.
Expert Pick & Final Score Prediction
I think this should first be about the SEC bouncing all over the place between teams besides Alabama, who only defeated LSU 10-0 a week ago. That shows the defensive prowess of the LSU Tigers when fully motivated. It also shows offensive limpness demonstrated with 0 points scored.
Arkansas is coming off a huge game defeating Florida after their bye week, and LSU seems to match up just right both offensively and defensively against a hopeful group of Razorbacks which is just another name for warthogs really. I believe playing UNDER the total of 45.5 is the best NCAA Football bet in this game, but LSU should cover the betting line also.