LSU at Mississippi Spread, Predictions, ATS Pick & Betting Preview

LSU at Arkansas Betting Tips

LSU at Mississippi Spread, Predictions, ATS Pick & Betting Preview

The LSU Tigers and Mississippi Rebels will look to bounce back from crushing losses in their last games in order to keep their improve their chances of reaching a New Year’s Day bowl game.With both teams’ national championship hopes clearly kaput at this point, finishing the 2015 season in style is what matters most to both of these nationally-ranked gridiron programs.

The college football week 12 spread favors Ole Miss by 4-points to beat LSU. Now, let’s find out which one of these former national title contenders will strike pay dirt in this intriguing week 12 SEC showdown.

A Closer Look At The No. 17 LSU Tigers at No. 25 Mississippi Rebels College Football Week 12 Spread & ATS Pick

What: No. 17 LSU Tigers (7-2) at No. 25 Ole Miss Rebels (7-3)
When: Saturday, November 21, 2015
Kickoff: 3:30 PM ET 
Where: Oxford, MS
Stadium: Vaught-Hemingway Stadium
Weather: 61° F | Scattered Clouds
Spread: Ole Miss -4
Moneyline: LSU +165 vs Ole Miss -190
Game Total: 56
Watch: CBS
Stream: CBS Sports
Listen: LSU vs Ole Miss

Bet The LSU Tigers at +4 Because…

Fournette has reached the end zone in every game, totaling 17 touchdowns, and leads the FBS with 1,643 rushing yards.

The LSU Tigers may have lost two straight games, but they’ve still got plenty of talent and just as much desperation to regain some of the national respect they’ve lost recently.

The Tigers were spanked by Alabama in its 30-14 Week 10 loss as a 7.5-point road dog, but that loss came against another elite national title contender.

LSU’s 31-14 Week 11 home loss against Arkansas is another story all together and one that ended the Tigers’ faint four-team playoff hopes and chances at winning the SEC West.

"When something goes not as planned, you have to say `I’m accountable and I’m responsible," Miles said.

LSU quarterback Brandon Harris completed 21 of 35 passes for 271 yards with one touchdown and one interception while former Heisman Trophy front-runner Leonard Fournette was limited to 91 yards and one touchdown on 19 carries.

The bruising sophomore has been held to less than 100 yards in each of the last two games after rushing for at least 150 in each of the first seven games.

"I just have to help keep this team together," the sophomore said. In hard times you see what type of man you are. I would never trade my team for anything in the world."

The Tigers are ranked 39th in scoring (33.6 ppg) and 50th in points allowed (24.3 ppg).

Bet The Mississippi Rebels at -4 Because…

Ole Miss quarterback Chad Kelly leads the SEC with 3,224 yards passing and 23 touchdowns.

Ole Miss will be playing in their back yard and undoubtedly has plenty of motivation as they still have an outside chance of winning an SEC title.

The Rebels had a bye in Week 11 after suffering a heartbreaking 53-52 overtime loss to Arkansas on Nov. 7.

"That’s part of life — being disappointed," Ole Miss coach Hugh Freeze said. "One of the greatest lessons you can learn in life is how do you handle that? They’re being tested with that just like we’ve been."

Ole Miss quarterback Chad Kelly had a stupendous performance against the Razorbacks by completing 24 of 34 passes for 368 yards and three touchdowns while rushing 11 times for 110 yards and another three scores.

Despite Kelly’s jaw-dropping performance, the Rebels allowed Arkansas quarterback Brandon Allen to complete 33 of 45 passes for 442 yards and a whopping six touchdown passes.

Nevertheless, if Mississippi wins its last two games against LSU and Mississippi State and Alabama loses in the Iron Bowl against Auburn on Nov. 28, the Rebels could win the SEC West crown.

"If you can’t refocus after a bye week and get amped up for the next game then you’re playing the wrong sport," Kelly said. "I know our guys are ready to get back and ready to hit somebody."
The Rebels are ranked 12th in scoring (40.7 ppg) and 43rd in points allowed (23.0 ppg).

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Expert Pick & Final Score Prediction

56 percent of the betting public likes LSU to get the road win and accompanying ATS cover,  but I don’t!

A few weeks ago, this is a contest I would have had LSU winning and covering the spread in fairly easily. Now though, that’s not the case after seeing how Arkansas shredded the Tigers’ once stout defense.

If Razorbacks signal-caller Brandon Allen torched LSU for six TD passes last weekend, I believe Mississippi’s Chad Kelly could put up similar numbers in this meaningful SEC showdown at home.

LSU has gone 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games and just 1-4 ATS in their last five games following a double-digit home loss. Conversely, Mississippi has gone 5-1 ATS in their last six home games against a team with a winning road record, 5-2 ATS in their last seven home games overall and an impressive 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games following an SU loss.

I know the road team I this longstanding rivalry is 14-4 ATS in their last 18 meetings, but LSU is just 4-10 ATS in their last 14 meetings against Ole Miss while the underdog is 14-3 ATS in their last 17 meetings.

Don’t sleep on Mississippi this week as they hand LSU their third straight loss.

My Pick: Ole Miss 31 LSU 28