LSU Vs Mizzou Line & PredictionsNoah Williams
With head coach Les Miles suddenly out the door, the reeling LSU Tigers will look to right a ship gone horribly off course when they host the Missouri Tigers in a Week 5 Pac-12 matchup that has lost virtually all of its pizzazz because of LSU’s recent woes.
The Week 5 college football line favors LSU by 13-points to beat Mizzou. Still, this Week 5 matchup is offering college football bettors everywhere a ton of value. Now let’s find out why.
LSU Vs Mizzou Line & Predictions
What: Missouri Tigers (2-2) at LSU Tigers (2-2)
When: Saturday, October 1, 2016
Start Time: 7:30 PM ET
Where: Baton Rouge, LA
Stadium: Tiger Stadium
Spread: LSU -13
Moneyline: Missouri +400 vs LSU -475
Game Total: 53.5
Watch: SEC Network
Stream: Watch ESPN
Listen: Missouri vs LSU
The Tigers rolled all over Delaware State in its 79-0 Week 4 win as quarterback Drew Lock tossed a school record five touchdown passes and running backs Damarea Crockett and Marvin Zanders both added two rushing scores.
Missouri is averaging a healthy 44.5 points per game (14th) but have committed eight turnovers through four games. For the season, Lock has completed 59.3 percent of his passes with 14 touchdowns and three interceptions. The Tigers are ranked a solid 29th in points allowed (18.8 ppg) but are also just 1-6 ATS in its last seven road games.
The LSU Tigers are in a state of disarray after firing head coach Les Miles following their crushing 18-13 Week 4 loss against SEC rival Auburn last weekend.
Quarterback Danny Etling completed 15 of 27 passes for a modest 118 yards and one touchdown while Heisman Trophy contending running back Leonard Fournette rushed for 101 yards on 16 carries but failed to score a touchdown.
One of the biggest reasons Miles was fired is because the Tigers are ranked 110th in the nation in scoring by averaging an uninspiring 21.0 points per game. While Etling has taken over for former starter Brandon Harris, he’s completing just 56.3 percent of his passes with three touchdowns and one interception.
Despite their offensive struggles, LSU’s defense has played exceptional football in ranking 21st in points allowed by limiting the opposition to a modest 16.8 points per contest. The bad news is that LSU is just 1-4 ATS in its last five games.
How To Bet LSU vs Mizzou
I know the LSU Tigers are playing at home in this matchup, but I just don’t understand how the Tigers can be nearly two touchdown favorites over a Missouri team that matches up quite well against the Tigers and has the big edge offensively.
Missouri might be 1-4 ATS in their last five SEC games but LSU is 0-4 ATS in their last four games and 1-5 ATS in their last six SEC games.
The bottom line for me is that, not only is this point spread is about a touchdown too high for LSU to cover, but I can easily see Mizzou getting the outright road win against the turmoil-filled Tigers.