The ninth-ranked Michigan State Spartans will look to hand the unbeaten defending national champion and second-ranked Ohio State Buckeyes their first loss of the season when they square off in their huge Week 12 Big Ten battle on Saturday. The college football week 12 odds favor the Buckeyes by 13.5-points to beat the Spartans.
Now, whether or not the Spartans can cover the spread as nearly two-touchdown road dogs remains to be seen, but that’s where I come in. Thanks to the expert betting analysis that you’re abut to get, you’re going to find out if Michigan State will get the outright road upset or whether they’ll cover the college football betting line at the least.
With that said, let’s rock and roll!
A Closer Look At The No. 9 Michigan State Spartans at No. 2 Ohio State Buckeyes Odds & Betting Analysis
What: No. 9 Michigan State Spartans (9-1) at No. 2 Ohio State Buckeyes (10-0)
When: Saturday, November 21, 2015
Kickoff: 3:30 PM ET
Where: Columbus, OH
Stadium: Ohio Stadium
Weather: 50° F | Scattered Clouds
Odds: Ohio State -13.5
Moneyline: Michigan State +400 vs Ohio State -500
Game Total: 52.5
Stream: Watch ESPN
Listen: Michigan State vs Ohio State
Bet The Michigan State Spartans at +13.5 Because…
Their QB is a Rose Bowl MVP with 32 wins and 68 touchdown passes.
The Spartans have plenty of motivation to win this Week 12 matchup – and they’ve got a great defense that could cause Ohio State some serious problems.
Michigan State bounced back from their crushing Week 10 loss to Nebraska to beat Maryland 24-7 in Week 11 and cash in as a 14.5-point home favorite
Quarterback Connor Cook completed just six of 20 passes for 77 yards with one interception in the win and was sidelined in the second half after injuring his shoulder after being driven into the ground in the first quarter.
"My shoulder is good," Cook said Tuesday. "I’m going to be ready to go so there is no issue with that."
Running back Gerald Holmes rushed for 83 yards and one score on 18 carries and the Spartans defense forced five turnovers in the win.
For the season, Cook is completing 56.3 percent of his passes for 2,482 yards with 21 touchdowns and four interceptions. Cook has an impressive eight touchdown passes in his last three games.
"He’s one of the best quarterbacks we’ll face this year," Buckeyes cornerback Eli Apple said.
Cook passed for 358 and two touchdowns in last season’s 49-37 home loss in East Lansing.
"I think this is another opportunity to establish his legacy. I think he will play well," Dantonio said. "He’s always played well on a big stage."
Michigan State is ranked 45th in scoring (32.9 ppg) and 37th in points allowed (22.3 ppg).
Bet The Ohio State Buckeyes at -13.5 Because…
Their RB is a Heisman Trophy candidate with 15 straight games of 100-plus yards rushing.
Ohio State is playing at home and definitely has the motivation to get the ‘W’ as they hope to keep their four-team playoff hopes alive.
The Buckeyes are coming into this contest off an emphatic 28-3 blowout win over Illinois on Saturday while covering the spread as a 17.5-point road favorite.
Ohio State was led to victory by running back Ezekiel Elliott who rushed for 181 yards and two scores on 27 carries. More importantly, the Buckeyes’ nearly season-long quarterback switching is apparently finally over with J.T. Barrett reclaiming the starting job over Cardale Jones after serving a one-game suspension.
Barrett completed 15 of 23 passes for 150 yards with one touchdown and one interception while rushing 16 times for 74 yards and another score.
Defensively, the Buckeyes held Illinois to just 20 rushing yards in the convincing win.
"We know there are issues," head coach Urban Meyer said. "This is not a perfect team. I’ve never seen a perfect team. As a matter of fact, we’ve got a long way to go. There are certain areas we’re not playing very good, and that’s why we practice all the time."
For the season, Barrett has completed 65.9 percent of his passes for 622 yards with eight touchdowns and three touchdowns while Ezekiel Elliott has rushed 1,425 yards and 16 touchdowns.
"We haven’t really been tested," left tackle Taylor Decker said. "This is a huge gauge for us going into some of the biggest games at the end of the season, because this is the biggest game we’ve played yet this season.
The Buckeyes are ranked 28th in scoring (36.4 ppg) and a stupendous second in points allowed (13.8 ppg).
Expert Pick & Final Score Prediction
Look, while I don’t necessarily believe the Michigan State Spartans are going to pull off the outright road upset over Ohio State in this huge Big Ten battle, I also don’t see them losing by two touchdowns – and apparently, a whopping 76 percent of public bettors agree!
Michigan State has gone 4-1 ATS in their last five games following an ATS win and 6-2 ATS in their last eight games against a team with a winning record.
While the Spartans have also gone 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27 road games against a team with a winning home record and 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 road games overall, Ohio State has gone just 1-4 ATS in their L/5 games in the month of November and a discouraging 1-5 ATS in their last six home games.
Sure, Michigan State may be 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 meetings against Ohio State, but the road team in this longtime rivalry is 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings and the underdog is a perfect 4-0 ATS in their last four meetings.
The Buckeyes win, but the Spartans get the ATS cover in a thriller.