Week 7 Free Picks as LSU, Baylor and Oregon Take Center StageNoah Williams
NCAAF collegiate gridiron gamblers will have a great chance to go ‘Trident’ when No. 11 LSU, No. 15 Baylor and No.2 Oregon all take center stage in their respective Week 7 college football betting matchups.
That’s right college football fanatics; you’re going to have a great chance to cash in on all three contests when this trio of Top 25 college football teams takes to the gridiron this Saturday.
With the weekend quickly approaching, let’s get started.
No. 17 Florida at No. 11 LSU
The Florida Gators (4-1 SU, 2-3 ATS) have won three straight games including their commanding 30-10 win over Arkansas in Week 6 as a 12.5-point home favorite.
The LSU Tigers (5-1 SU, 3-2-1 ATS) pounded the snot out of Mississippi State in its overwhelming 59-26 Week 6 win as a 7-point road favorite.
Now, the two SEC rivals are both looking to shore up their respective BCS bowl game chances as we move into the ‘real’ part of the 2013 schedule.
Analysis: While Florida has a national ranking and an impressive 4-1 SU record, I also don’t think they’re in the same league as the Tigers this season. While these teams have split the last six meetings evenly, the Gators have also gone just 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games overall and an even more discouraging 2-6 ATS in their last eight games against a team with a winning record.
LSU has gone 5-2 ATS in their last seven games in the month of October and 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games following a win of at least 20 points.
Ultimately, I think LSU’s outstanding defense, which allows just 12.2 points per game (fifth overall) is going to shut down Florida’s mediocre offense (25.0 ppg, 92nd).
The Tigers are the better team this season, not to mention the fact that they’re playing at home and looking for revenge from last season’s 14-6 road loss to the Gators.
The Pick: LSU wins and covers the spread
No. 15 Baylor at Kansas State
The Baylor Bears (4-0 SU, 4-0 ATS) are scoring points at a record pace and I believe they’re going to flat-out dominate the Kansas State Wildcats (2-3 SU, 2-3 ATS) when they battle at Snyder Family Stadium on Saturday.
Baylor is coming off a 73-42 winner at home against West Virginia in week 6 that helped them cash in against a crazy, 30-point spread as home favorites. The Bears are also scoring points at a record pace, averaging a mind-numbing 70.5 points per game
Kansas State is coming off a crushing 33-29 road loss against Oklahoma State the last time out, but managed to cover the spread as 12.5-point road dog to snap a two-game ATS losing streak. The Wildcats are averaging a very respectable 31.2 points per game while allowing 24.4 per contest defensively, so they may have a chance to cover….I just don’t see them stopping the explosive Bears, simply because they have too many weapons.
Baylor is 6-0 ATS in its last six conference games and 12-2 ATS in its last 14 games following an SU win while K-State has gone just 4-9 ATS in its L/13 home games against a team with a winning SU record.
Keep it simple and back the Baylor Bears to cruise in this one!
The Pick: Baylor Bears -10.5
No. 2 Oregon at No. 19 Washington
It’s going to be offense versus defense when the second-ranked Oregon Ducks (5-0 SU, 5-0 ATS) battle the 19th-ranked Washington Huskies in a Pac-Ten battle that looks like it should be an entertaining affair at Husky Stadium this Saturday.
Oregon remained undefeated by spanking Colorado 57-16 in Week 6 while cashing in against the huge 38-point spread as road faves with room to spare. Making matters worse for Washington is the fact that the Ducks can apparently cover any point spread. Oregon has cashed in against the NCAAF betting line in every game, with no spread having them favored by less than 26.5 points.
Washington (4-1 SU, 4-1 ATS) suffered a crushing 31-28 loss to Stanford in Week 6, though they covered the spread as a 9-point road dog to move to 3-0 ATS over the last three games.
I really like the Huskies and they covered for me in a big way last weekend, but I don’t think they’re going to be able to keep up with Oregon, no matter how many times they actually stop Oregon from scoring.
The Ducks have gone 8-0-1 ATS in their last nine meetings against Washington, including 5-2 ATS in their last seven road games against the Huskies.
I like the Oregon Ducks, simply based on their offensive scoring ability, to win and cash in!
The Pick: Oregon -12 Points