North Carolina Vs. Notre Dame Expert Betting Pick PreviewJosh Bailey
Disappointing Tar Heels Visit South Bend To Take On Unbeaten No. 6 Notre Dame
College football oddsmakers had the North Carolina Tar Heels contending for a division title in the ACC this season. Instead, they’ve been one of the bigger college football betting disappointments after going 0-5 against the spread this season. Carolina now packs its bags for an ACC road trip to South Bend to take on the Notre Dame Fighting Irish on Saturday afternoon.
Notre Dame blew out of the gates starting this season at 5-0 and jumping all the way to No. 6 in the latest AP rankings putting the Fighting Irish on the right path to making their second national title run in three years. They still have a few tough games left on their schedule, but this could be the year they finally living up to their storied past.
After 7 weeks of college football your Fighting Irish are ranked No. 6 in the AP Top 25 & No. 5 in the USA Today Poll pic.twitter.com/DDCVrnmyWt
— Notre Dame Football (@NDFootball) October 5, 2014
North Carolina Tar Heels at No. 6 Notre Dame Fighting Irish
When: Sat, Oct. 11
Where: Notre Dame Stadium
Kickoff: 3:30 PM ET
Spread: Notre Dame -16.5
North Carolina Vs. Notre Dame Expert Betting Pick Preview
North Carolina (2-3 SU, 0-5 ATS) has lost three straight games, including its humbling 34-17 Week 6 loss to Virginia Tech while falling to a dismal 0-5 ATS on the season by failing to cover the spread as a 2.5-point home underdog.
The Tar Heels have lost their first two ACC games for the second consecutive season and saw their defense get toasted for the third straight week, after giving up an insane 70 points to ECU in Week 4 and 50 points to Clemson in Week 5.
While the Tar Heels average a whopping 36.0 points per game, they also have an awful defense that gives up a stunning 42.0 points per contest defensively while Notre Dame has limited their opponents to a paltry 12.0 points per contest.
"There’s frustration involved, but I don’t think there’s a lack of confidence in what we do or how we do things," coach Larry Fedora said.
And in that corner… The North Carolina Tar Heels http://t.co/TCjpX6fqpz
— Notre Dame on NBC (@NDonNBC) October 8, 2014
Notre Dame (5-0 SU, 4-1 ATS) is coming off an exciting 17-14 win over Now. No. 22 Stanford on Saturday that was capped off by quarterback Everett Golson’s game-winning touchdown throw to tight end Ben Koyack with 61 seconds remaining in regulation.
Making the play even more breath-taking was the fact that it came on fourth-and-11 from the 23-yard-line with the Fighting Irish trailing 14-10.
"I went to my first read and it wasn’t there and I needed to begin improvising a little bit," Golson said. "I guess they busted the coverage a little bit and I found Koyack in the back of the end zone."
Koyack said he broke off his route when he saw the coverage and hoped Golson would see him.
"He did," he said. "It felt like the ball was in the air for about an hour."
Golson completed 20 of 43 passes for 241 yards with two touchdowns and one interception to lead Notre Dame to victory while the Fighting Irish picked off Stanford quarterback Kevin Hogan twice.
With the win, Golson improved to a mind-boggling 15-1 as a starting quarterback. The fleet-footed signal-caller’s 93.8 percent winning percentage is the best in school history.
"The kid’s a winner and he keeps competing and he keeps playing," Notre Dame head coach Brian Kelly said. "And he has a bunch of winners around him. So you never feel like you’re out of it. You just keep playing and keep giving it a shot."
The Fighting Irish improved to 5-0 for just the third time since Lou Holtz left in 1996, though it is the second time it has happened in the last three seasons.
North Carolina is 3-10 ATS in their last 13 road games and 2-9 ATS in their last 11 road games against a team with a winning home record while Notre Dame has gone 4-1 ATS in their last five games following an SU win and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The bottom line for this Week 7 mismatch is that I’ll be shocked if this game isn’t well in hand for the Fighting Irish by halftime.