Odds to Win The College Football PlayoffJosh Bailey
The College Football Playoff is set. Alabama battles Michigan State for the Cotton Bowl while Oklahoma takes on Clemson in the Orange Bowl. The two semi winners will Jan. 11 in Glendale, Ariz to crown the National Champ.
It looks like the Selection Committee is hoping for an Alabama versus Oklahoma final. Oklahoma was ranked third. After Michigan State beat Iowa 16 to 13 in the Big Ten Championship, Oklahoma was sent to fourth while Michigan State leapfrogged the Sooners all the way from fifth to third. The odds are spread out for a 4-Team playoff.
Analyzing The Odds to Win the College Football Playoff
No. 2 Alabama Crimson Tide -125
Don’t be surprised if Alabama ends up at -150 before Dec. 31. The Crimson Tide has the absolute best defense in college football. It allows a staggeringly good 74 yards rushing per game. Teams average only 14 points per game against the Tide’s D. The offense isn’t bad. Alabama beat 7 Top 25 FPI ranked teams during the regular season. They are ranked second in strength of schedule, strength of record, and game control. Alabama is ranked first in defensive efficiency.
No. 4 Oklahoma Sooners +225
Oklahoma’s odds might drift down as well before Dec. 31. Expect the Sooners to be at +200 before they kick it off against Clemson. Unlike some of the other teams in the CFP, Oklahoma has been very good against the spread this season. The Sooners are 9 and 3 ATS. They finished the season by going 6 and 1 ATS in their last 7 games. Oklahoma is ranked third in strength of record and game control. They’re ranked fourth in defensive efficiency.
— ESPN CollegeFootball (@ESPNCFB) December 6, 2015
No. 1 Clemson Tigers +450
Clemson’s odds could drift up. The Tigers are ranked first in game control and strength of record. They’re ranked third in defensive efficiency. But, Clemson has been one of the worst teams against the spread this season. The Tigers went 6 and 7 ATS. They finished off the season by going 1 and 4 ATS in their final 5 games.
No. 3 Michigan State Spartans +700
It’s hard to see many football handicappers jumping on Michigan State to win the College Football Playoff. Expect Michigan State’s odds to drift up all the way to +800 before Dec. 31. The defense gave up 39 points to Nebraska this season in a loss. Plus, Michigan State needed a fluky play in order to beat Michigan and wasn’t all that impressive when beating Iowa in the Big Ten Championship.