The West Virginia Mountaineers will look to both, bounce back from their first loss of the season the last time out while handing the unbeaten and 21st-ranked Oklahoma State Cowboys their first defeat of the 2015 campaign.
This week the college football spread favors West Virginia by a touchdown to beat Oklahoma State. Now, let’s find out if the Mountaineers have what it takes to pull off the upset in their own backyard.
Analyzing The No. 21 Oklahoma State Cowboys Vs West Virginia Mountaineers Odds & TV Info
What: No. 21 Oklahoma State Cowboys (5-0) at West Virginia Mountaineers (3-1)
When: Saturday, October 10th, 2015
Kickoff: 7:00 PM ET
Where: Morgantown, WV
Stadium: Milan Puskar Stadium
Weather: 64° F | A Mixture of Sun and Clouds
Spread: West Virginia -7
Moneyline: Oklahoma State +235 vs Team West Virginia -275
Game Total: 61.5
Watch: ESPN 2
Stream: Watch ESPN
Listen: Oklahoma State vs West Virginia
Bet The Oklahoma State Cowboys at +7 Because…
The Cowboys have outgained their foes by 172 yards per game so far this season.
I know Oklahoma State has won their last two games by a grand total of five combined points, but the Cowboys keep managing to find their way into the win column, even if they’re not that impressive in doing so.
— Cowboy Football (@CowboyFB) October 5, 2015
Oklahoma State squeaked past a very good K-State team 36-34 in Week 5 but failed to cover the spread as a 7-point home favorite to snap their two-game ATS winning streak. The Cowboys got a stellar outing from quarterback Mason Rudolph as the strong-armed signal-caller completed 34 of 55 passes for 437 yards with three touchdowns and one interception. Oklahoma State also got after the K-State defensively by limiting the Wildcats to 4-for-11 success on third down while completing their comeback from a 28-20 halftime deficit.
Thanks to the season that Mason is having, the Cowboys rank 13th in passing (345.0 ypg) and 26th in scoring (38.2 ppg). However, it is on defense that the underrated Cowboys have also excelled by ranking 24th in total defense and 33rd in points allowed (19.2 ppg).
Bet The West Virginia Mountaineers at -7 Because…
West Virginia does have its best defense yet under Holgorson
The Mountaineers were looking very solid – until falling to Oklahoma 44-24 and failing to cover the spread as a 6.5-point road dog against Oklahoma last weekend that is. West Virginia allowed OU quarterback Baker Mayfield to pass for 320 yards in the win while their own signal-caller Skyler Howard, tossed three interceptions. The Mountaineers also lost three turnover battle by fumbling twice in the humbling loss.
— Sports Illustrated (@SInow) October 8, 2015
Still, West Virginia has been pretty damned good on both sides of the ball as they rank 23rd in scoring (38.5 ppg) and an impressive 21st in points allowed (16.8 ppg).
Expert ATS Pick & Final Score Prediction
56 percent of the betting public likes Oklahoma State to cover the spread as touchdown road faves, but I’m banking on West Virginia bringing their collective ‘A’ games to cover the spread at the very least.
I know the Mountaineers have compiled a bunch of abysmal ATS trends like their 5-12 ATS mark in their last 17 conference games and 2-5 ATS mark in their last seven games following an SU loss, but Oklahoma State also has struggled to cover the spread in certain instances.
The Cowboys are just 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games against a team with a winning record and 0-4 ATS in their last four games in the month of October.
With these two teams appearing to be very evenly matched on both sides of the ball, I believe the safe play is to back West Virginia at home. My final score predictions is West Virginia 28, Oklahoma State 27.