After dropping their respective regular season finales, the 13th-ranked Oklahoma State Cowboys and 11th-ranked Colorado Buffalo will both be looking to record a season-ending victory when they square off in the 2016 Valero Alamo Bowl.
The annual postseason tilt will get underway on Thursday, Dec. 29 at 9:00 PM ET, live from the Alamodome in San Antonio, Texas and will air live on ESPN. Now, let’s find out if Colorado can cover the college football betting line as a 3-point favorite.
Oklahoma State Cowboys Vs. Colorado Buffaloes Spread & ATS Pick
Valero Alamo Bowl
Who: No.12 Oklahoma State Cowboys vs No.10 Colorado Buffaloes (10-3)
When: Thursday, December 29, 2016
Start Time: 9:00 PM ET
Where: San Antonio, TX
Spread: Colorado -3
Moneyline: Oklahoma State +145 vs Colorado -165
Game Total: 62.5
Stream: Watch ESPN
Listen: Oklahoma State vs Colorado
Why Bet The Oklahoma State Cowboys To Beat The Buffaloes
The Cowboys (9-3 SU, 7-5 ATS) had their four-game winning streak snapped by falling to Oklahoma 38-20 in their finale while failing to cover the spread as a 12-point underdog.
Oklahoma State is averaging an impressive 38.6 points per game to rank 20th nationally in scoring as quarterback Mason Rudolph passed for 3,777 yards with 25 TD passes and just four interceptions while completing an impressive 63.0 percent of his passes.
Running back Justice Hill rushed for a team-high 1,042 yards and five scores while wide receiver James Washington hauled in 62 passes for 1,209 receiving yards and nine touchdowns.
Fellow wideout Jalen McCleskey added 762 receiving yards and seven TD grabs, but the Cowboys were mediocre at best defensively as they allowed 28.0 to rank a mediocre 65th in points allowed nationally.
Why Bet The Colorado Buffaloes To Beat The Cowboys
Colorado (10-2 SU, 10-2 ATS) had a fantastic season despite losing to No. 4 Washington 41-10 in the Pac-12 Championship game and never coming close to covering the spread as an 8-point underdog.
Colorado averages an impressive 32.8 to rank 43rd in scoring nationally as quarterback Sefo Liufau passed for 2,171 yards with 11 TD passes and six interceptions while rushing for 494 yards and seven scores. Liufau injured his ankle and is questionable for this contest.
Running back Phillip Lindsay rushed for a team-high 1,189 yards and 16 touchdowns while wide receivers Shay Fields (845 yards, 9 TDs) and Devin Ross (765 yards, 5 TDs) combined for over 1,600 receiving yards and 15 touchdown grabs.
Defensively, the Buffaloes limited the opposition to just 20.4 to rank a stellar 18th in points allowed nationally.
Expert ATS Pick & Final Score Prediction
A narrow 53 percent of public bettors like Oklahoma State to cover the college football betting line as a 3-point underdog, but I don’t, mostly because I believe the Buffaloes have a big edge on defense and more motivation to show they can play with anyone.
I know Oklahoma State is 4-0 ATS in their last four games following an ATS loss, but the Cowboys are also 2-4 ATS in their last six meeting against Colorado and will face a Buffaloes team that has gone 8-1 ATS in their last nine games after rushing for more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
This game will ultimately boil down to Colorado’s defense versus Oklahoma State’s offense and since defense wins championships, I say the Buffaloes narrowly cover in a thriller.