Can Mayfield and Ninth-Ranked Sooners Cover Spread as Double-Digit Road Favorites at Kansas State?
Baker Mayfield and the ninth-ranked Oklahoma Sooners will look to record another win and distance themselves from their Week 6 upset loss when they hit the road to take on the rival Kansas State Wildcats in their Week 8 Big 12 conference clash on Saturday. The Cats will host the Sooners at Bill Snyder Family Stadium at 12:00 PM ET with this contest airing live on FOX TV.
Oklahoma Sooners Vs Kansas State Wildcats Odds & Betting Analysis
No. 9 Oklahoma Sooners (5-1) at Kansas State Wildcats (3-3)
When: Saturday, October 21, 2017 at 12:00 PM ET
Where: Bill Snyder Family Stadium, Manhattan, Kansas
Stream: Fox Sports Go
Odds: Oklahoma -12.5
Why Bet on the Oklahoma Sooners Odds at -12.5
Ninth-ranked Oklahoma got past Texas 29-24 on Saturday but didn’t cover the spread as a 9-point favorite just as I predicted. The Sooners had to hold on after taking a 20-10 lead into the half. Mayfield completed 17 of 27 passes for 302 yards with two touchdowns and one interception to lead Oklahoma to victory while running back Trey Sermon added 96 rushing yards on 20 carries. Backup running back Rodney Anderson added 48 rushing yards and one rushing score in the win. The Sooners average a stellar 42.0 points per game (10th) while allowing 23.3 points per contest defensively (51st).
Why Bet on the Kansas State Wildcats Odds at +12.5
Kansas State put up a good effort in their 26-6 Week 7 loss to No. 4 TCU but just couldn’t get in the end zone when it matters while getting limited to one field goal in both, the second and third quarters. Quarterback Alex Delton completed 11 of 29 passes for 146 yards with no touchdowns or interceptions and the Wildcats got limited to just 70 rushing yards by TCU’s outstanding defense. Kansas State averages a respectable 31.7 points per game (49th) while allowing 21.0 points per contest defensively (40th).
Oklahoma Vs K-State Expert Analysis and Pick
Oklahoma got past Texas last weekend but didn’t cover the spread as a 9-point favorite and now they’re a double-digit road favorite over a Kansas State team that I think is just as good as the Longhorns and that leads me to believe they’ll fail to cover the spread in this Week 8 Big 12 battle.
While Kansas State averages about 11 fewer points per game than Oklahoma, they’re also the better defensive team in this matchup and give up just over two fewer points per game defensively. The Wildcats are a robust 33-16-2 ATS in their last 51 games in the month of October while Oklahoma has gone 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game. I know K-State Wildcats is a bit offensively-challenged which is why I don;t see them pulling off the outright upset, but I do think they’re good enough defensively to get the ‘upset’ ATS cover.
Pick: Kansas State +12.5