Ole Miss Vs Arkansas Week 13 Free Pick

Ole Miss Vs Arkansas Week 13 Free Pick

Ole Miss Vs Arkansas Week 13 Free Pick

Ole Miss will try and scramble their way back into the College Football Playoff hunt even though their chances of doing that are exceedingly slim by beating Arkansas on the road this Saturday.

Arkansas goes into their game against Ole Miss off of their most important victory in the Beilema-era. Can Arkansas upset two SEC rivals in a row?

No. 8 Ole Miss Rebels at Arkansas Razorbacks
When:  Saturday, Nov. 22 at 3:30 pm ET
Where:  Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium, Fayetteville, Arkansas
Betting Line: Ole Miss -3

Analyzing My Ole Miss Vs Arkansas Week 13 Free Pick

After 2 consecutive losses, 7 to 10 to LSU and 31 to 35 to Auburn, Mississippi bounced back against Presbyterian with a 48 to 0 victory. Ole Miss was favored by 50 points, however, so, it was yet another loss against the spread for the Rebels who have now gone 0 and 3 ATS after starting out the season going 6 and 1 against the spread.

The Rebels still have a very good team. Ole Miss is averaging 447.4 yards per game and 33.4 points. The offense is relatively balanced with 174.5 yards arriving via the rush and 272.9 yards arriving via the pass. Ole Miss scores 33.4 points per game. On defense the Rebels are rock solid. Ole Miss is allowing only 310.3 total yards per game. Teams pass for 181.7 and rush for 128.6 versus the Ole Miss defense. The Rebels are ranked first in college football in points allowed at 11.9.

But the Rebels could have a tough time beating Arkansas straight up, much less covering the spread, this Saturday. Arknsas has really turned it around. The Razorbacks have won 2 out of their last 3 games and were absolutely exceptional against LSU in a stunning 17 to 0 victory last Saturday. As a 1 point home dog in some sports books, Arkansas dominated the Tigers. The Razorbacks defense, which usually allows 340.6 yards and 22 points per game, held LSU to only 123 total yards and 0 points. It was a magical performance by a defense that had been maligned this season.

On offense, Arkansas was spectacularly efficient against LSU. The Razorbacks could only muster 264 total yards but it faced, arguably, the best defense in football in the LSU Tigers. The 17 points were huge against a defense like LSU’s.

This SEC matchup between Ole Miss and Arkansas should be another defensive affair. The games have gone under in Arkansas’s last two, while the under is 4 and 1 in Mississippi State’s last 2 games. The against the spread trends point to a Razorbacks cover. Arkansas is 12 and 3 against the spread in their last 15 home games versus a team with a winning road record, 9 and 1 ATS versus a team with a winning record, and 20 and 8 ATS in their last 28 games in November while the Rebels are 5 and 17 against the spread in their last 22 games in November.

The Arkansas Razorbacks have a great shot at winning this game straight up. The Razorbacks were competitive against Alabama when losing 13 to 14 and lost by only 7, 10 to 17, against Mississippi State on the road. Arkansas is the play in this SEC matchup.      

Pick: Arkansas +3