Predicting The 2015 Alamo Bowl Ft. UCLA vs Kansas StateNoah Williams
The No. 11 Kansas State Wildcats and No. 14 UCLA Bruins face off in the 2015 Alamo Bowl. Both teams are powered by high-octane offenses, but fell short in their respective conferences this season, with three losses each.
Analyzing My 2015 Alamo Bowl Prediction Ft. UCLA vs Kansas State
UCLA Bruins vs Kansas State Wildcats
Date: Jan. 02, 2015
Start Time: 6:45 p.m. ET
Location: San Antonio, Texas
TV Info: ESPN
Stream Info: WatchESPN.com
Radio: UCLA vs Kansas State
Point Spread: Bruins -1.5
Game Total: 59.5
While both teams offenses will eat up the turf, rack up the yards, and put up the points, their defenses are also capable of making plays when needed. It may go down to the final made or missed play that will decide the winer of the 2015 Alamo Bowl.
— Valero Alamo Bowl (@valeroalamobowl) January 2, 2015
Kansas State will win the 2015 Alamo Bowl if
They play their normal brand of defense – and stop Brett Hundley!
If the Kansas State Wildcats want to win the 2015 Alamo Bowl, then they are going to have to find a way to force UCLA quarterback Brett Hundley into a bad performance.
Of course, that will be no small task, even for a K-State defense that was one of the best in the nation.
Hundley, a likely first-round NFL draft pick, has completed a blistering 70.4 percent of his passes this season for 3,019 passing yards with 21 touchdowns just five interceptions. The dual-threat signal-caller has also rushed for 548 yards and eight touchdowns in what has been a stellar campaign. Hundley finished the regular season as one of just two players in the nation to complete at least 70 percent of his passes with at least 20 touchdowns and five interceptions or less.
If Kansas State plays their brand of defense, then they can stop anyone in the country. However, the Wildcats gave up 38 points to Baylor in their season-ending loss to Baylor in the Big 12 Championship game on Dec. 6 and gave up 41 to explosive TCU in a lopsided 41-20 loss to the Horned Frogs on Nov. 8.
UCLA will win the 2015 Alamo Bowl if
They contain Jake Waters and Tyler Lockett and win the turnover battle!
If UCLA wants to win the 2015 Alamo Bowl, then the Bruins are going to have to find a way to contain the dangerous combination of quarterback Jake Waters and wide receiver Tyler Lockett.
Like his counterpart Hundley, Waters has been one of the best quarterbacks in the country this season, throwing for 3,163 yards with 20 touchdowns and a minuscule six interceptions. The sure-handed Lockett ranked fourth in the country in receiving yards (1,351) and eighth in catches with 93, not to mention the fact that he is also an elite returner.
The Bruins would do well to force the Wildcats into a costly turnover or two, but Kansas State has been extremely efficient in protecting the ball, committing a paltry 11 turnovers on the season.
"They play perfect football almost," UCLA wide receiver Jordan Payton told "They don’t make any mistakes (and are) extremely disciplined, so it is going to take one of our best games we’ve ever played, and we are definitely going to be ready for it."
Who will win the 2015 Alamo Bowl?
I know the UCLA Bruins have a ‘big name’ program and one of the most recognizable quarterbacks in the game today, but Kansas State actually averages more points per game (35.8) than the Bruins (32.8) while also allowing 5.7 fewer points per game defensively.
For me, Kansas State has also been the better team all season long, losing only to elite programs, Baylor, TCU and Auburn while UCLA has been man-handled by an offensively-challenged Stanford team while also suffering a humbling loss to mediocre Utah and narrowly squeaking by lowly Colorado.
I like K-State’s superior defense to lead them to the straight up victory and accompanying ATS cover against the Alamo Bowl betting line in a matchup that has the chance to be one of the most exciting of all the bowl games!