College Football Over-Under Predictions Week 11

Predicting The ATS Final Score FSU vs Boston College

The 9th-ranked and 7.5-point favorite Florida State Seminoles hit the road to face the Boston College Eagles in week 3 college football ATS betting. The game kicks off on ESPN this Friday, Sept 18th at 8:00 PM ET. Cord-cutters can stream the game via Watch ESPN. 

FSU is 5-0 straight up in their last 5 games versus Boston College. However the Eagles have covered the betting spread in five of the last seven games vs the Seminoles. Those numbers make predicting the ATS outcome of the game challenging, but let’s have a look. 

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A Closer Look At My Florida State Seminoles Vs Boston College Eagles Final Score Predicton & My AS Pick

What: No. 9 Florida State Seminoles (2-0) at Boston College Eagles (2-0)
When: Friday, Sept 18th, 2015
Kickoff: 8:00 p.m. ET 
Where: Chestnut Hill, MA
Stadium: Alumni Stadium (MA)
Weather: 83°F/ Scattered Clouds
Wind: Southwest 8mph
Spread: Florida State -7.5
Moneyline: Florida State -290 vs Boston College +245
Game Total: 49.5
Watch: ESPN
Stream: Watch ESPN
Listen: Florida State Vs Boston College

Florida State (2-0 SU, 1-1 ATS) remained unbeaten by man-handling South Florida 34-14 in Week 2 despite failing to cover the -28.5-point spread as home favorites. The combined score of Florida State’s second regular season contest played Under the 53.5-point O/U Total.

Florida State running back Dalvin Cook led the way by rushing for a phenomenal 266 yards and three touchdowns on 30 carries. Cook’s performance ranked as the second-best rushing game in school history and the first 200-yard game by a Noles running back since Sammie Smith put up 212 yards against Tulane in 1988. Former star Greg Allen owns the school record with a stunning 322 yards against Western Carolina in 1981.

"He was in the zone today. He prepared well this week. He gave us hell on defense — this whole week," Florida State cornerback Marquez White said.

Cook said he didn’t know how many yards he had until after the game.

"I felt like we were going to run well today," said Cook, who has five straight 100-yard games dating back to last season. "The first half we didn’t play well but in the second half we had to open it up and we came out strong."

Through two games, Cook has rushed for 422 yards with five rushing touchdowns while averaging a healthy 8.6 yards per carry. I expect the Seminoles to ride Cook’s unmatched talent again this week.

South Florida head coach Willie Taggart tried to recruit Cook when he was at Miami Central.

"Cook is the real deal. You look at their offense, he was pretty much their entire offense," Taggart said.

Boston College (2-0 SU, 1-1 ATS) throttled the Howard Bison 76-0 in a contest that was so utterly lopsided that officials ultimately decided to opt for two 10-minute quarters in the second half in order to show the Bison some mercy.

"You get in the mode where: We didn’t know what to do, what to call," Eagles’ head coach Steve Addazio said. "It just got to the point where you didn’t want to throw it; you don’t know what to call, you just want it to end.

The blowout represented BC’s most overwhelming win since a 76-0 rout over Holy Cross in 1949.

Betting Analysis: 52 percent of the betting public like Florida State to cover the spread as road favorites while 53 percent of the betting pub likes the Over 51 Total points to play out as well.

With that said, I’m ‘going the other way’ against the betting public with my pick for this intriguing Week 3 matchup. Despite winning 24 of their last 25 games overall, the Florida State Seminoles are also just 2-5 ATS in their last seven road games and 1-5 ATS in its last six games overall.

This also isn’t the same team that won one national championship and nearly another in each of the last two years. Conversely, Boston College has put together an impressive 13-6 ATS mark in its last 19 home games while also going 5-2 ATS in their last seven games against Florida State.

The Seminoles may have the edge in overall roster talent, but I’m picking the Boston College Golden Eagles to cover the college football week 3 betting spread against the Florida State Seminoles and the over 49.5 total. My final score prediction is FSU 37, Boston College 30.