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The Rebels Won’t Slow Down Missouri Tigers in Week 13

The Missouri Tigers haven’t been loafing around, licking their wounds since seeing their undefeated season vanish with a home loss against South Carolina. They’ve bounced back the way winning teams do, trouncing Tennessee and Kentucky by combined scored of 81-20 over their past two games. The Tigers have been the best ranked team to bet on all season with an incredible 8-1-1 ATS record. A big win on the road this weekend is vital for their BCS survival. Of course, they have to hope something weird happens to Auburn as well, but that’s out of their control.

What they can control is their opponent this weekend by leaning on the backbone of their team. Missouri’s defense has been the story all season. They haven’t allowed a team to score more than 28-points in a game yet, and have the 20th best scoring defense in the country. The Tigers have only given up 20.2 points per game and have an attractive, winning, average winning point differential of +21.1. And after their disappointing loss to the Gamecocks three weeks ago, Missouri isn’t leaving anything to chance anymore. They’re not going to take the Rebels lightly.

#8 Missouri Tigers (9-1) vs. Mississippi Rebels (7-3)
The Missouri Tigers are 3 point favorites over the Mississippi Rebels in week 13.
Starts: 11/23/2013 7:40PM
Vaught Hemingway Stadium, All-American and Hill Dr
Oxford, Mississippi


The gambling community generally loves the Rebels as an underdog, but that reputation has forced them in to some tough matchups with the college football oddsmakers. Having a dazzling playmaker like Bo Wallace also brings more bees to the honey as well. The Rebels are just 6-4 ATS this season, while going 3-2 ATS when playing as the home team.

The biggest knock on Wallace and company is their lacking scoring efficiency. They average 498.5 yards per game (15th) but only generate 34.5 points per game (38th). There’s a disparity there since running up and down the field five times should lead to a bigger scoring average. This team can’t close, and their defense has also been pried open by aggressive opponents as well.


Sat-Nov 23-2013
Northern Illinois
NIU -2.5
Sat-Nov 23-2013
Central Florida
UCF- 17
Sat-Nov 23-2013
Kansas State
KSU -3.5
Sat-Nov 23-2013
Florida State
IDHO +56
Sat-Nov 23-2013
Ohio State
OSU -31.5
Sat-Nov 23-2013
ARI +19
Sat-Nov 23-2013
CAL +31.5
Sat-Nov 23-2013
UGA -23.5

Simply put, Ole Miss seems like a fun upstart whenever they play a big name team, but they struggle against truly refined competition. They gave Texas A&M a great challenge, and picked up a solid win over an under achieving LSU Tigers team, but their simply aren’t enough points in the cushion to allow for a reliable play on the Rebels. This line would have to be at least three times larger to even encourage a cover for the home dogs.

It’s also impossible to leverage a bet on Ole Miss when Missouri has been the best cover team in this conference. There is a possibility that the Tigers overlook the cagey Rebels this weekend with Texas A&M looming in their final game, but I don’t believe that will be an issue. Missouri already let one game slip through their hands. Since then, they’ve been on a warpath so punch your bandwagon ticket and invest in this shallow line as soon as possible. By Saturday, it could creep away from the Tigers. This price is an outright steal.

NCAAF Spread Betting – Missouri -3.0