Rivalry Week Baylor vs. Texas Tech Betting OddsJosh Bailey
Baylor versus Texas Tech is one of those rivalries that not many football handicappers know about. The two teams have actually battled each other 72 times, and it’s been as close as an even battle as possible. Baylor has beaten Texas Tech 35 times while Texas Tech has beaten Baylor 36 times. The two teams have tied once.
The betting odds have the visiting Baylor Bears as 24.5 point favorites over the home town Texas Tech Red Raiders during Rivalry Week at AT&T Stadium.
— Baylor Football (@BUFootball) November 24, 2014
This season, the game between the two has a lot of meaning for Baylor, who is knocking on the door to the college football playoff. With a big victory, Baylor could make the case that they belong in the Top 4 if other things, meaning major upsets, go their way. Does Texas Tech have what it takes to put the clamps on their more heralded rival?
No. 7 Baylor Bears at Texas Tech Red Raiders
When: Saturday, Nov. 29 at 3:30 pm ET
Where: AT&T Stadium, Arlington, TX
Betting Line: Baylor -24.5
Analyzing The Baylor Bears vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders Betting Odds
Baylor is 6-3-1 against the spread this season. That’s a terrific ATS record, but the Bears haven’t really been taking care of business lately when it comes to the spread. At home and versus Oklahoma State as a -33 point favorite, Baylor could only beat the Cowboys by a 49 to 28 score. It was their third non–cover in their last 5 games.
Baylor’s offense is as good as it gets. The Bears average 584.5 yards per game, first in college football, and scores on average 50 points per game, again, first in college football, but the defense doesn’t always play that well. Based on the averages, Baylor’s D should be able to shut down teams like Oklahoma State. The Bears only allow 21.7 points and 329.7 yards per game. Teams rush for only 108.6 yards per game against Baylor’s defense.
But the Bears allowed Buffalo to score 21 points, Iowa State to score 28, TCU to score 58, and Oklahoma State to score 28 against their D. This wouldn’t hurt Baylor’s chances to cover the spread if Texas Tech weren’t extremely good offensively itself. The Red Raiders average 484.6 yards per game. They score 29 points per and are ranked sixth in passing yards at 327.6 per matchup.
Texas Tech has also turned it around recently. Even though TCU beat the Red Raiders 82 to 27, Texas Tech has gone 4 and 2 against the spread in their last 6 games. They’ve also gone 2 and 0 ATS in their last 2 games and they beat Iowa State 34 to 31 on the road in their last contests.
The trends tell football handicappers that Baylor could have trouble covering this spread. The Red Raiders are 5 and 1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game. Texas Tech is also 4 and 1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
As good as Baylor has been, and the Bears have been very good this season, they’ve gone 3 and 2 ATS in their last 5 games. The Baylor defense can be exploited. If this game were at Baylor, they’d be the logical pick to cover the spread, but since there is going to be a ton of Texas Tech fans in the stands, the Red Raiders are the pick. They should be able to score enough to keep it close against the Bears.