Rivalry Week Stanford at UCLA ATS Pick

Rivalry Week Stanford at UCLA ATS Pick

Rivalry Week Stanford at UCLA ATS Pick

UCLA has one more game before taking on Oregon in the Pac 12 Championship. The team from Westwood needs to beat Stanford in order to solidify their spot in the championship game.

If UCLA loses to Stanford on Friday, then the winner between Arizona and Arizona State gets the pleasure of battling Oregon for the Pac 12 title. UCLA goes into the Stanford game after having pummeled their biggest rival, USC. Will UCLA suffer a letdown after such a huge victory?  Or, will UCLA keep their momentum and take down the Cardinal?

Stanford Cardinal at No. 9 UCLA Bruins
When:  Friday, Nov. 28 at 3:30 pm ET
Betting Line: UCLA -4.5

Analyzing My Stanford at UCLA ATS Pick

That was some victory that the Bruins offered up for their fans this past Saturday. In a game where UCLA ended up as a -3.5 point home favorite, the Bruins absolutely rocked the Trojans. At halftime, the score was 24 to 14. By the end of the third quarter, the score was 38 to 14 and by the time the refs blew the final whistle, UCLA had allowed USC to score only 6 points in the second half.

The Bruins racked up 461 total yards to USC’s 276. UCLA simply shut down USC’s offense while it punished USC’s defense. All of UCLA’s success on offense stems from their quarterback, Brett Hundley. Hundley has said that he’s likely to turn pro this season. That’s probably not a good idea based on watching him play, but based on stats it’s hard to argue against the UCLA signal caller.

Hundley has thrown 20 touchdowns to only 5 interceptions this season. He’s completing 72% of his passes and he’s the focal point of an offense that averages 486.6 yards per game and 35 points per matchup. UCLA’s offense has been spectacular lately. In addition to putting up 38 versus USC, it put up 44 against Washington. UCLA’s defense hasn’t been as impressive as the offense. It’s yielding close to 400 yards per game on average and 27.2 points per game.

The problem for Stanford is that they don’t appear to have an offense that can take advantage. Stanford only averages 25 points and 382 yards per game. The averages appear decent enough until football handicappers realize that Stanford scored only 10 points against ASU, a team that UCLA beat 62 to 27, 16 against Oregon and 17 against Utah.

The ATS betting trends point to a UCLA against the spread victory. The Bruins are 8 and 3 ATS in their last 11 games following an ATS win and 16 and 6 ATS in their last 22 home games versus a team with a winning road record. Stanford is 1 and 5 ATS in their last 6 road games and 0 and 7 ATS in their last 7 games following an ATS victory.

Stanford has one of the best defenses in the nation, but it faces an offense that has finally hit its stride this season. UCLA will find a way to move the ball. Almost as importantly, UCLA’s defense should shut down Stanford’s anemic offense. The Bruins are the play to cover the spread in this Pac 12 matchup. 

My Rivalry Week ATS Pick: UCLA -4.5