SEC Football Betting Odds & Picks – Mississippi State at No. 8 LSUJosh Bailey
NCAAF football betting odds and picks take center stage when the Mississippi State Bulldogs and LSU Tigers square off in a Week 4 SEC battle of unbeaten ball clubs.
Miles: I would expect that Tiger Stadium would be as live as it’s ever been considering the new addition & the fact it’s the first SEC game.
— LSU Football (@LSUfball) September 17, 2014
Mississippi State recorded an emphatic 35-3 win over South Alabama in Week 3 to cash in as a 15-point road favorite while LSU spanked UL-Monroe 31-0 to narrowly cover the spread as a 30.5-point home favorite.
Matchup: Mississippi State Bulldogs at No. 8 LSU Tigers
Spread: LSU -10
When: 7:00 PM ET, Saturday, September 20, 2014
Where: Tiger Stadium, Baton Rouge, Louisiana
SEC Football Betting Odds & Picks Preview
Mississippi State (3-0 SU, 2-1 ATS) got a stellar performance from junior quarterback Dak Prescott in their Week 3 win over South Alabama as the fleet-footed signal-caller completed 13 of 21 passes for 201 yards and one touchdown while adding 139 rushing yards and another score on 14 carries.
LSU (3-0 SU, 3-0 ATS) head coach Les Miles has taken notice of the Bulldogs’ blossoming star.
"Dak Prescott is as good a player as there is at his position in our conference," Miles said Monday.” "He’s a guy that stands back in the pocket and knows what he’s looking at. He makes the throws and he has the ability to pull it down. He runs with strength.
"I don’t know exactly how fast Prescott is, but he carves through the ground very quickly," Miles added. "When you go to tackle him, you better hit him hard. You better take him off his feet because he’s just a big, physical kid."
The Bulldogs have scored at least 35 points in each of their three season-opening victories while scoring 47 or more twice. Not only is Prescott performing well in the passing attack (9 TD’s, 2 Int’s) but the Bulldogs leader has also rushed for 273 yards in three games while adding another two scores.
Mississippi State has also given up three points or less in two of their three games this season, although they did give up 34 points in their Week 2 win over UAB.
LSU gave up 24 points to Wisconsin in their season-opening home win – and the Tigers have not allowed their opponents to score a single point since. While LSU did face a pair of patsies in Sam Houston State and Louisiana-Monroe, they still looked very impressive on both sides of the ball in winning by a combined score of 87-0.
The Tigers have been absolutely monstrous on defense as they rank third in the nation in total yards (205.7 ypg) and passing yards allowed (94.3 ypg), in addition to ranking second in points allowed (8.0 ppg).
LSU’s defensive players say they’re preparing to face Mississippi State’s dual-threat force.
"Prescott is really an explosive player," said Tigers’ defensive tackle Christian LaCouture. "You have to stop the run first and convert on the pass later. You see a lot of guys who are a great runner and not a good thrower or guys who are the complete opposite.
"Prescott can both run and throw," LaCouture said. "As defensive linemen, we have to attack the line of scrimmage. We have to get off blocks and make sure he doesn’t create big-time plays. Then, we need to get in his face when he throws the ball."
SEC Football Betting Odds & Picks Analysis:
I’m really impressed with the Mississippi State Bulldogs but I’ve got to believe that LSU is going to hold it down at home. The Tigers have not lost to the Bulldogs since 1999 when they suffered 17-16 road loss to their longtime rivals.
LSU has not lost a home game to Mississippi State since 1991 – one year before the SEC split into separate divisions. The Tigers have gone 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games against the Bulldogs although they’re just 2-2 ATS over the last four meetings.
I also think the Tigers’ regular season opener has prepared them better for games against elite opponents while this will be Mississippi State’s first contest against a ‘real’ team this season. When you add it all up, I think the SU outcome is crystal clear, though I’ll admit that I believe the Bulldogs are going to come with a special effort in order to keep it close and cover the spread.
While the favorite in this series has gone 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings, the Bulldogs have gone 4-0 ATS in their last four conference games and a blistering 7-1 ATS in their last eight games overall.
With LSU going 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 games following an SU win and Mississippi State going 5-1 ATS against a team with a winning record, I like the Bulldogs to push the Tigers like never before in an effort to get their first road win against the Tigers in over two decades.