College Football week 4 betting action returns this Friday when the 24th-ranked Stanford Cardinal visit the 15.5-point underdog Oregon State Beavers. While both teams are 2-1, the Vegas CFB oddsmakers give the clear edge to Stanford.
The game kicks off on Fox Sports 1 this Sept 25th from the Reser Stadium in Corvallis, Oregon.
A Closer Look At The Stanford Cardinal Vs Oregon State Beavers Week 4 Odds, My Free Pick & How To Watch
What: No. 24 Stanford Cardinal (2-1) at Oregon State Beavers (2-1)
When: Friday, September 25, 2015
Kickoff: 10:00 PM ET
Where: Corvallis, Oregon
Stadium: Reser Stadium
Projected Weather: 64° F/Lite Rain Late
Spread: Cardinal -15.5
Moneyline: Cardinal -650 Vs Beavers +475
Game Total: N/A
Stream: Fox Sports Go
Listen: Stanford Vs Oregon State
The Stanford Cardinal came through for me in a big way this past weekend, pulling off the outright road upset over 41-31 over No. 6 USC to jump back into the Top 25 and revive their hopes for a big-time bowl game after getting upset in their regular season by Northwestern.
"The guys were celebrating after the game," Stanford coach David Shaw said. "But I reminded them that we don’t get a trophy for this one. It’s a regular-season game against a conference opponent that we won on the road. That’s great. But we get back to work."
The Cardinal got a fantastic game from quarterback Kevin Hogan as the oft-embattled signal-caller completed 18 of 23 passes for 279 yards with two touchdowns. Stanford used their old-school ball-control offense to control the clock for nearly 40 minutes and got a stellar performance from exciting sophomore running back Christian McCaffrey, the son of former NFL star Ed McCaffery.
Stanford's Kevin Hogan moves to top of Pac-12 QB power rankings http://t.co/1mLgWVaF1l
— ESPN Pac-12 (@ESPN_Pac12blog) September 21, 2015
Ranked 14th in the country in all-purpose yards at 165.8 per game, McCaffery roasted USC for 249 all-purpose yards, including 115 rushing yards on 26 carries.
"We felt like we had an unbelievable week of practice," Hogan said. "Everyone put in extra time in the film room after practice to make sure we were ready to go. We made sure we stuck to the game plan and executed, and it’s a nice feeling to go out in the second half and run the clock out, playing our style, running between the tackles and wearing them down."
After trailing 21-14 at the half, Oregon State broke open their Week 3 matchup against San Jose State by scoring three touchdowns in the third quarter while shutting their opponents out in the second half to win going away 35-21 and cash in as 6-point home favorites.
The Beavers bounced back from their humbling 35-7 Week 2 loss at Michigan thanks to a stellar outing from dual-threat freshman quarterback Seth Collins who passed for 135 yards and one touchdown and added another 114 rushing yards and two scores.
Oregon State also got a fine performance from elusive running back Storm Woods who added 151 rushing yards and one touchdown in the win. Overall, the Beavers finished with 303 rushing yards on 46 attempts after getting held to 138 total yards of offense in their Week 2 loss to the Wolverines.
How To Bet This Game:
55 percent of the betting public likes Oregon State to cover the huge spread as two-touchdown-plus home underdogs and I agree – even though it should be note that nearly every key ATS trend for this contest is pointing toward a solid Stanford cover.
Stanford has an extremely stout defense and a ball-control offense, but Oregon State has a decent share of legitimate play-makers on its roster and should be able to keep the final score within two touchdowns, particularly at home.
Stanford is 5-0 ATS in their last five meetings against Oregon State and 18-8 ATS in their last 26 games in the month of September while the Beavers have gone 2-5 ATS in their last seven home games.
Still, while those trends aren’t very encouraging for Beavers betting backers, with Oregon State averaging just 3.3 fewer points per game than Stanford while allowing just 3.0 points per game more defensively, I say the Beavers find a way to cover the spread as home dogs.
I am picking the Oregon State Beavers plus the points as the smart bet this week. My final score prediction is Stanford 31, Oregon State 20.