Stanford vs USC Pac-12 Title Game Odds & PickJosh Bailey
Unlike the other four major conferences, the Pac-12 title tilt between Stanford and USC will not have College Football Playoff implications. That doesn’t mean you can’t make few bucks betting on the Pack-12 title game. The Las Vegas oddsmakers have listed the Pac-12 title game odds at -3 in favor of USC over Stanford.
Stanford vs USC Pac-12 Title Game Odds & Pick
No. 14 Stanford Cardinal (9-3) vs. No. 11 USC Trojans (10-2)
When: Friday, December 1, 2017 at 8:00 PM ET
Where: Levi’s Stadium, Santa Clara, California
Stream: Watch ESPN
NCAAF Odds: USC -3
Bet Stanford Because…
Stanford has won three straight and I’ll be honest. I didn’t expect the Cardinal to get past Washington in Week 11, but they did 30-22. Then, I didn’t expect the Cardinal to get past a desperate Notre Dame team this past weekend, but again, they did while hell, smacking the Fighting Irish around to win 38-20 on Saturday.
Bet USC Because…
Sam Darnold and the USC Trojans have gotten their act together a bit over the last four games, but for me, I’m not super impressed seeing as how they’ve beaten a quartet of good, but certainly not great, teams in getting past Arizona State, Arizona, Colorado and UCLA in their last four.
USC’s 28-23 win over UCLA in Week 12 is a perfect example of what I mean. While Bruins quarterback Josh Rosen is a star, the Bruins are mediocre at best, as their 6-6 record suggests, yet USC certainly didn’t destroy their longtime Pac-12 rivals, not to mention the fact that they’ve had their share of struggles at times in winning each of their last three games.
Stanford vs USC Pac-12 Title Game Pick
I love Stanford’s defense and supremely gifted running back Bryce Love even more. I know the Cardinals lost to the Trojans 42-24 in Week 2 this season, but right now, Stanford is clearly a much better team than they were then, while I can’t say the same for USC.
The bottom line for me when it comes to this Pac-12 championship is that I just don’t trust USC very much and I’ve been really impressed with Stanford’s last few wins. More importantly, I think the Cardinal defense is going to force Sam Darnold into at least one costly turnover and possibly two. In addition to that, I’m expecting Bryce Love to have another big game after he torched the Trojans for 160 rushing yards and one touchdown on just 17 carries in their first meeting this season.
Stanford has held three of their last seven opponents to 14 points or less while not allowing more than 24 points in each of their last eight games. The Cardinal are a near-perfect 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games in December and bankroll-boosting 8-2 ATS in their last 10 neutral site games. Conversely, USC has gone 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in December and a disturbing 0-5 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games.
Stanford covers the chalk – by winning outright everyone!