After Losses By Both Squads, Which Big 12 Team Should You Bet On?
The Texas Longhorns and ninth-ranked Oklahoma Sooners will both be looking to bounce back from losses in their respective Week 6 matchups when they square off in their annual Big 12 battle on Saturday, but I’m going on record right now to say that this contest is closer to a virtual lock than a gut-wrenching pick that leaves you exhausted. Click here for more Big 12 college football odds.
Now, let’s find out why.
Texas Longhorns at No. 9 Oklahoma Sooners
When: Sat, Oct. 11
Where: Cotton Bowl Stadium
Kickoff: 12:00 PM ET
Spread: Oklahoma -14.5
The Texas Longhorns (2-3 SU, 3-2 ATS) looked absolutely awful in their 28-7 Week 6 loss to Baylor and never came close to covering the spread as a 14-point underdog,
Sophomore quarterback Tyrone Swoopes struggled mightily in the loss, completing just 16 of 34 passes for 144 yards with no touchdowns and two interceptions while also committing a costly fumble at the Baylor 1-yard line just before halftime.
“At quarterback, you can always see when they are seeing the rush, as opposed to playing poised in the pocket,” Texas assistant head coach for offense Shawn Watson said after the loss to Baylor.
“I talked to him about it during the game, just staying calm in the pocket and keeping his eyes where his work was — flashing — and he got nervous and he had some throws that were correct reads, but they were behind. That’s because we weren’t on balance and all things. A young quarterback, you go through this with them. There are a lot of speed bumps with them and you just have to keep working.”
While Texas played solid defense in keeping the high-scoring Bears well under their 42.4 points per game average, the Longhorns struggled mightily to find the end zone until they scored with just over two minutes remaining in regulation to avoid their first home shutout since 1976.
The Longhorns are off to their worst start after give games since 1993 and have now dropped a whopping nine straight at home against nationally ranked opponents. The Longhorns have been outscored 69-14 in their two home games this season.
"We don’t know how to win yet," head coach Charlie Strong said. "We can move the football … We just caused our own destruction."
As losses mount, Texas must fix mentality http://t.co/Bn1UQcDafK
— ESPN Big 12 (@ESPN_Big12) October 7, 2014
Oklahoma (4-1 SU, 3-2 ATS) was on the wrong end of a heartbreaking 37-33 loss to TCU in Week 6 that wasn’t nearly as close as the final score indicates. The Sooners failed to cover the spread as a 3.5-point favorite.
While Oklahoma’s once vaunted defense got shredded for the second consecutive week, the Sooners’ loss is also one of the driving reasons I really like them to win this conference matchup and cover the spread.
"This isn’t the defining moment of our season. There’s a lot of football left," Sooners quarterback Trevor Knight. "Who knows what’s down the road. It’s early in the season, a one-loss team can still make it."
Oklahoma's playoff hopes dimmed, not doused; but Sooners must help themselves first http://t.co/QYweQNSCRK
— ESPN Big 12 (@ESPN_Big12) October 6, 2014
While Texas pulled off a huge shocker to win last season’s annual clash 36-20 and cash in as a 13.5-point home dog, Oklahoma won each of the previous three meetings, including two straight by at least 38 points and I expect a bit of the same in this matchup.
Texas is just 2-6 ATS in their last eight games in the month of October while Oklahoma has gone 7-2 ATS in their last nine games overall.
With the favorite in this longtime Big 12 rivalry going 3-1-1 ATS in their last five meetings, I say, keep it simple and back the Oklahoma Sooners to win and win big at home.
The Pick: Oklahoma Sooners -9 Points