ATS Analysis College Football Championship Week

Texas A&M Vs Alabama Spread Betting Preview

This week’s most compelling matchup features the 22nd-ranked Texas A&M Aggies on the road in Tuscaloosa to face top-ranked Alabama. The Week 4 college football betting spread favors the Crimson Tide by 27-points. The game total is 61 for over/under bets. Now let’s take a closer look at why you should bet the spread on either side.

Texas A&M Vs Alabama Spread Betting Preview Week 4

Who: Texas A&M Aggies vs. Alabama Crimson Tide
Where: Bryant-Denny Stadium, Tuscaloosa
When: Saturday, September 22nd, 3:30 PM ET
Watch: CBS
Stream: CBS Sports
Spread: Crimson Tide -27
Moneyline: Aggies +2650/Tide -5600
Total: 61

Why Bet On The Texas A&M Aggies

This is the best Aggies team in years. Texas A&M is 3-0 ATS this season. That gives them nine ATS victories in 10 September games since the start of the 2016 season. Texas A&M is two weeks removed from an almost upset of second-ranked Clemson. The Aggies trailed Clemson by 15 points in the fourth quarter. A missed a two-point conversion in the final minute led to a two-point loss.

Is that enough for you to bet on the Aggies to cover the 27-point spread against Bama? Almost.

The only college football betting trend I could find is a longshot. Since the start of the 2014 season, road underdogs with defenses that allow an average of at least 5.8 yards per play are 63-27-1 ATS when coming off a game in which they gained 525 or more total yards. That’s a mouthful.

While the Aggies have the offense to keep up with the Tide, can its defense stop Bama from running up the score and cover the week 4 betting spread?

Why Bet On The Alabama Crimson Tide

There is no question that Alabama is the clear No. 1 team in the nation this season. The Tide have stampeded over its three opponents by a total score of 170 to 28, beating Louisville 51-14, Arkansas State 57-7 and Ole Miss 62-7. Can they keep that point differential going versus the Aggies to cover the week 4 spread?

Head coach Nick Saban is still undefeated against his former assistant coaches at 12-0. And this week he faces former assistant Jimbo Fisher who was hired this off season.

Texas A&M vs. Alabama Betting Predictions

Alabama is 5-1 in six meetings between these teams since Texas A&M joined the SEC. Only once has the Tide won by 20 or more points.

Bet the Aggies to cover the 27-point week 4 college football spread as underdogs.