Texas A&M Vs. Mississippi State Week 6 College Football Lock PicksJosh Bailey
The Texas A&M Aggies and Mississippi State Bulldogs will both look to remain unbeaten when they square off in a huge Week 6 SEC showdown that will undoubtedly have postseason implications for both teams.
Mississippi is 8-1 against the spread over their last nine games and 7-0 straight up over their last seven games. The Bulldogs will be looking for a signature win this Saturday when they host the Texas A&M Aggies. Click here for more college football betting odds.
No. 7 Texas A&M vs. No. 14 Mississippi State
When: Saturday, October 4, 2014
Kickoff: 12:00 PM ET
Where: Davis Wade Stadium, Starkville, Mississippi
Spread: Mississippi State -3
College Football Lock Picks For Week 6 Aggies Vs Bulldogs
Texas A&M (5-0 SU, 3-2 ATS) remained undefeated by taking out Arkansas 35-28 in a thrilling Week 5 SEC matchup though the Aggies narrowly failed to cover the spread as a 7.5-point favorite.
Quarterback Kenny ‘Trill’ Hill has been spectacular in replacing former Heisman Trophy-winning quarterback Johnny Manziel this season.
The sophomore signal-caller threw for an eye-popping 386 yards and four touchdowns against Arkansas, including a 25-yard TD strike to Malcome Kennedy on the first play of overtime that gave A&M a 35-28 win over Arkansas and a 2-0 start in SEC play.
Texas A&M hasn’t started a season 5-0 since 2001 and look to move to 6-0 for the first time since 1994. The Aggies are ranked second in the nation in scoring (51.2 ppg) and third in the country in total offense, (594.6 ypg).
"We can compete with people in the SEC," Hill said. "I mean, we didn’t play our best (last Saturday), but we still competed and came out with a win. … I think that shows us, more than anything, we can come back from a deficit like that and we can still come out with a win."
5 Mississippi State players Texas A&M fans need to know http://t.co/2NpxsbLo44
— Texas A&M Aggies (@Aggies) October 2, 2014
Mississippi State (4-0 SU, 3-1 ATS) got past LSU in its equally exciting 34-29 Week 4 win over the Tigers to cover the college football betting line as a 7-point underdog.
Mississippi State (4-0, 1-0) is one of six SEC West teams ranked inside the AP Top 15 and they’re coming into this Week 6 matchup off a bye, so they’ll be well-rested following their thrilling win over LSU on Sept. 20.
Mississippi State is averaging a whopping 537.5 yards per game to nearly equal Texas A&M’s offensive output, but head coach Dan Mullen said he is getting his team focused on trying to outscore the Aggies.
"You know you’re going to have to score," he said. "If they hit their average, it means we have to score 52. If you hold them just below the average, we’ll have to score 50. Offensively, you know you’re going to have to score points against them if you’re going to beat them."
Mullen did say that it was important for his team to try to contain Hill as much as possible.
"He can improvise. He can make things happen," Mullen said. "He extends plays with his feet and extends them in the pocket to create throws down the field. He’s a very elusive runner on top of that where if you have everybody in coverage he can keep a play alive, and all of the sudden he’s running for a first down and moving the chains for them."
— MSU Equipment (@HailStateEQ) October 2, 2014
The Bulldogs have their own gifted quarterback in redshirt junior Dak Prescott. The flee-footed signal-caller has tossed 11 touchdown passes and is tied for fourth in the SEC behind Hill’s conference-leading 17. Prescott has also racked up three consecutive 100-yard rushing games while adding thee additional touchdowns and his 378 rushing yards leads all SEC quarterbacks.
"When you have a dual-threat quarterback playing at a high level like Dak is, that’s the real issue," Texas A&M head coach Kevin Sumlin said. "If you stop the run game and stop the quarterback run game, you can’t cut one loose deep (in the passing game). That’s how they’ve been able to score a lot of points."
Prescott rushed for a career-high 154 yards against A&M last season while throwing a pair of touchdown passes in a heartbreaking 51-41 road loss on Nov. 9.
After losing to Alabama one week later, the Bulldogs haven’t lost since.
"In the last football game, to go into LSU and played the way they played, going up and down the field and scoring points, you could argue they are as hot as anybody," Sumlin said. "They’ll be rested up and ready to go."
I love the Texas A&M Aggies and I believe they’ll contend for a national championship at some point under Kevin Sumlin, but I’m going to back Dak Prescott and the Mississippi State Bulldogs in this contest for a number of reasons, starting with the always-popular, ‘revenge’ factor.
Mississippi State is 8-1 ATS in their last nine games and 6-1 ATS in their last seven games against an opponent with a winning record.
Texas A&M is 2-5 ATS in their last seven games following an ATS loss and an even more discouraging 1-4 ATS in its last five conference games.
My Pick: Mississippi State -3 Points