Fourth-ranked TCU drew last blood in their absolutely thrilling, back-and-forth, 55-52 win over equally explosive Texas Tech in Week 4 tough the Horned Frogs failed to cover the spread as a 5-point road favorite.
Quarterback Trevone Boykin added to his Heisman Trophy candidacy by completing 34 of 54 passes for 485 yards and four touchdowns while wide receiver Josh Doctson had a monster game in recording 18 catches for 267 yards and three touchdowns. Last but certainly not least, running back Aaron Green added 162 rushing yards and two touchdowns on 28 carries.
For the season, Boykin is completing 64.7 percent of his passes for 1,470 yards with 14 touchdowns and three interceptions. BYU signal-caller Seth Russell and USC quarterback Cody Kessler are the only other players with more touchdown passes than Boykin. TCU is ranked second in total yards (636.5 ypg) and fifth in scoring (51.0 ppg). Defensively, the Horned Frogs are ranked 87th in points allowed (28.2 ppg).
The Longhorns fought valiantly but fell just short in their 30-27 loss to Oklahoma State in Week 4 while narrowly failing to cover the spread as a 2.5-point home dog.
Exciting dual-threat quarterback Jerrod Heard completed nine of 17 pass attempts for 119 yards and one interception while adding 48 rushing yards on 19 carries.
Heard is completing 60.7 percent of his passes for 613 yards, two touchdowns and two interceptions since taking over for former starter Tyrone Swoopes after Game 1. The Longhorns are ranked 78th in scoring (29.0 ppg) and 105th in points allowed (35.2 ppg).
Texas Longhorns Vs No. 4 Texas Christian University Horned Frogs Betting Analysis
What: Texas Longhorns (1-3) at No. 4 TCU Horned Frogs (4-0)
When: Saturday, October 3, 2015
Kickoff: 12:00 PM ET
Where: Fort Worth, TX
Stadium: Amon G. Carter Stadium
Weather: 81° F / Partly Cloudy
Spread: TCU -17.5
Moneyline: Texas +625 vs TCU -950
Stream: Watch ESPN
Listen: Texas vs TCU
The betting public is split right down the middle at 50-50 on this contest, but I’m leaning toward the TCU Horned Frogs to roll in this one. First of all, Texas got blown out of the water in its 38-3 season-opening road loss at Notre Dame and I believe TCU is going to come out with a renewed effort on defense after dealing with Texas Tech’s powerful offense this past weekend.
No team has had an answer for TCU’s Trevone Boykin since the start of last season and I don’t expect Texas’ mediocre defense to solve the multitude of problems that playing against Boykin brings.
Not only that, but if you saw TCU’s Josh Doctson absolutely destroy every Texas Tech defensive back that attempted to cover him, then you know that stopping the Horned Frogs future NFL star is next to impossible, especially for a team that plays defense the way Texas does.
The Longhorns are 1-4 ATS in their last five games following an SU loss and just 1-5 ATS in their last six games overall.
The Horned Frogs are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 home games and 14-5 ATS in their last 19 games overall. I know the road team in this Big 12 rivalry is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings, but I like the home team to win and cash in this time around.