Fifth ranked TCU travels to Austin on Thanksgiving Day to battle Texas in what could become one of the biggest rivalry games of the year in college football.
TCU played so badly versus Kansas in their last game two weeks ago that the Selection Committee dropped them from the College Football Playoff Top 4. Instead of TCU, the Selection Committee decided to keep Mississippi State in the Top 4 due to a tough loss to Alabama. TCU will need to trounce Texas in order to sway the Selection Committee. Will the Horned Frogs be able to do it or will Texas end TCU’s hopes of getting to the playoff?
— Winsipedia (@Winsipedia) November 24, 2014
No. 5 TCU Horned Frogs at Texas Longhorns
When: Thursday, Nov. 27 at 7:30 pm ET
TV: FOX Sports 1
Betting Line: TCU -6.5
Analyzing The TCU vs Texas Online Football Betting Odds
Suddenly, TCU looks neither unbeatable nor an automatic bet in the sports book to cover the spread. TCU was downright awful when beating Kansas 34 to 31. Kansas has been the laughingstock of the Big 12 this season. The Horned Frogs should have put up at least 40 points, if not 50 or even 60 points, against the Jayhawks’ defense.
What happened? One could say that it was just TCU relaxing a bit too much, but the Horned Frogs have pulled this stunt before. They could beat West Virginia by only a single point, 31 to 30, on the road 3 games ago as a -3.5 point favorite. In fact, TCU has gone 1 and 2 against the spread in its last 3 games. The Horned Frogs are also allowing 378.8 yards per game on defense and 23.5 points per. Teams have flat out put up points against the TCU D. Oklahoma scored 33, Baylor put up 61, West Virginia 30 and Kansas 30.
Texas may not need to put up 30 against TCU on Thursday night in order to keep this one close. The Longhorns only average 366.9 yards and 23.7 points as it is, but the Texas defense is rock solid. The averages are 346.9 yards and 21 points per game, but that doesn’t really tell the story. Texas’s D has been as good as any defense in the nation in the Longhorns’ last 3 games. Texas held Texas Tech to 13 points, West Virginia to 16 and Oklahoma State to 7.
The Longhorns won all 3 of those games and they covered in all 3 of those games as well. If Texas can get some stops, they could find a way to upset TCU on the money line because Texas is now averaging 154 rushing yards per game. Rushing the ball will keep TCU’s offense on the sidelines while Texas’s offense chews up clock.
TCU does not look all that unbeatable any more. The Horned Frogs have an incredible offense, but the defense is suspect and the matchup against Texas isn’t a good one. The Longhorns will take their time on offense and then keep TCU from scoring at will.
This game could fall right into Texas’s lap. Football handicappers shouldn’t just back the Longhorns to cover the online football betting spread; they should also consider backing Texas on the money line.