UCF vs Arkansas State AutoNation Cure Bowl Spread & ATS Pick

UCF vs Arkansas State AutoNation Cure Bowl Spread & ATS Pick

UCF vs Arkansas State AutoNation Cure Bowl Spread & ATS Pick

The two best defensive players in their respective conferences will be featured when the UCF Knights and the Arkansas State Red Wolves face-off in the AutoNation Cure Bowl this Saturday. The NCAA football AutoNation Cure Bowl betting spread favors UCF by 5.5-points. Kick-off is this Saturday, December 17th at 5:30 PM ET on CBSSN from the Camping World Stadium in Orlando, Florida.

UCF Knights Vs Arkansas State Red Wolves AutoNation Cure Bowl Spread & ATS Pick

AutoNation Cure Bowl
Who: UCF Knights (6-6) vs Arkansas State Red Wolves (7-5)
When: Saturday, December 17, 2016
Start Time: 5:30 PM ET  
Where: Orlando, FL
Stadium: Camping World Stadium
Spread: UCF -6.5
Moneyline: UCF -220 vs Arkansas State +180
Game Total: 49
Watch: CBS
Stream: CBS Sports
Listen: UCF vs Arkansas State

Why Bet The UCF Knights To Beat Arkansas State

The UCF Knights are 6-6 SU and 8-4 ATS this season. They lost their last two games of the regular season. They average 30.1 points per game (63 rd ) and allow 24.1 points per game (52nd).

UCF averages 209.6 passing yards per game (71 st ). QB McKenzie Milton (1808 yards, 9 TDs & 7 INTs) completed only 57.9% of his passes this season. WR Tre’Quan Smith (54 rec, 808 yards, 5 TDs) is the number one offensive threat on the team. The Knights average 152.3 rushing yards per game (75th). RBs Jawon Hamilton (129 car, 481 yards, 4 TDs) and Dontravious Wilson (120 car, 463 yards, 8 TDs) split carries and have similar numbers with the later doing most of the scoring.

The Knights have the 46th-ranked total defense in College Football. They allow 200.4 passing yards per game (30th) and 181.3 rushing yards per game (69th).

Why Bet The Arkansas State To Beat UCF

Arkansas State ended the season with a good run, winning seven of the last eight games of the season. They are 7-5 SU and 6-6 ATS. They average 14.7 points per game (120th) and give up 38.7 points per game (119th).

"When I told them the other night where we’re going, they were extremely excited," coach Blake Anderson told reporters during a press conference. "This is just something a lot of kids would never have the opportunity to do. Just financially where it’s at and what it would cost for them to travel to this location on their owns would be impossible for a lot of our players."

The Red Wolves averages 223.7 passing yards per game (73rd). QB Justice Hansen (2514 yards, 16 TDs & 8 INTs) completed 58.9% of his passes this season. WR Blake Mack (33 rec, 585 yards, 3 TDs) is the number one weapon in this offense. But WRs Kendall Sanders (33 rec, 426 yards, 4 TDs) and Cameron Echols-Luper (26 rec, 407 yards, 1 TDs) help spread opposing defenses. Arkansas State averages 92.7 rushing yards per game (120th). RB Warren Wand (185 car, 867 yards, 7 TDs) averages 4.7 yards per carry.

Arkansas State has the 38th-ranked defense in the nation. They give up 220.2 passing yards per game (54th) and 154.3 rushing yards per game (45th).

Betting Trends For this Matchup:

  • Central Florida is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games
  • Central Florida is 6-19 SU in its last 25 games
  • Arkansas State is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
  • Arkansas State is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games

UCF vs Arkansas State AutoNation Cure Bowl ATS Pick & Final Score Prediction

Arkansas State ended the regular season on a 7-1 run. Central Florida finished 3-4. Also, the UCF Knights have been unable to out rush or out pass their last eight opponents. And while Central Florida did play in the tougher conference this season, the difference in schedule difficulty between these two teams wasn’t really that much.

The key matchup here could be the Red Wolves’ lackluster drive-finishing ability. Arkansas State might move the ball some, maybe enough to see that the Knights are outgained again, but the Wolves’ red zone prowess doesn’t stack up well with that of the Knights’ defense.

My final score prediction is UCF 34, Arkansas State 20.