Updated College Football National Championship Odds & PicksJosh Bailey
With a wild and wacky final few weeks of the regular season that saw the likes of former CFP No. 1 Georgia and AP No. 2 Miami and last but not least, perennially powerful, AP No. 1 Alabama, all take massive losses, right now, no one really has a firm idea of just which College Football Playoff contenders are the most likely team to hoist this season’s national championship trophy.
However, thanks to the expert knowledge that I’m about to drop in this look at the most recent updated College Football National Championship odds, you’re going to have a great idea – at least until the conclusion of the upcoming Week 14 slate of conference championship that is.
The Latest College Football National Championship Odds & Picks
- Oklahoma 4/1
- Clemson 4/1
- Alabama 4/1
- Auburn 9/2
- Ohio St 7/1
- Georgia 7/1
- Wisconsin 10/1
- Miami FL 15/1
- TCU 80/1
- USC 80/1
- Centra Florida 300/1
The Betting Favorite To Win The 2018 College Football National Championship: Clemson/Oklahoma/Alabama +400
Three teams are tied as prohibitive favorites to win the 2018 national championship. AP Poll top-ranked Clemson, No. 2 Oklahoma and No. 5 Alabama are all listed as identical +400 favorites to hoist this season’s championship hardware.
Ironically, the Crimson Tide aren’t currently in the top four teams and may not even reach the CFP for the third straight year, depending on what happens in this coming weekend’s SEC championship between No. 4 Auburn and No. 6 Georgia.
While reigning national champion Clemson is ranked first and has been in each of the last two national championships, for me, it is Now, No. 2 Oklahoma that has the look of the best team of the three.
The Sooners have the best quarterback in all of college football in my mind in Baker Mayfield and that alone, gives them the chance to beat every team they face from here on out. Oklahoma is ranked first in total offense, second in passing and fourth in scoring (45.2 ppg).
The Sooners aren’t outstanding defensively as they allow 25.7 points per game to rank a modest 57th nationally, but again, when you can put points on the board almost at will, giving up 25 a game really doesn’t mean a whole lot.
To put Baker Mayfield’s excellence in perspective, just know that, as a sophomore, he threw 36 TD passes and seven interceptions. As a junior last season, he threw 40 TD strikes and eight picks and this year, he’s thrown 37 touchdown passes and just five interceptions. By my count, that’s an insane 113 TD passes versus just 20 TD passes, with possibly three games remaining in his career.
I’m just going to close out my thoughts on Mayfield and the Sooners by saying, damn, those are Tom Brady-like numbers!
The Smart Pick To Win The 2018 College Football National Championship: Auburn +450
The more I look at Auburn’s resume` the more I think they could end up hoisting this year’s national championship trophy. The Tigers’ only two losses this season were a narrow 14-6 road loss at Clemson in Week 2 and an equally close 27-23 road loss at LSU in Week 7. However, Auburn has looked and played like arguably the best team in all of college football since then and particularly in beating two top-ranked title hopefuls over their last three games.
The Tigers completely destroyed, then CFP No. 1 Georgia 40-17 in Week 11 three weeks ago to shake up the playoff picture in a big way and they backed that up with an even bigger, playoff picture moving 26-14 beatdown over AP No. 1 Alabama this past weekend. The Tigers have a solid offense that averages 36.7 points per game. More importantly, Auburn is solid at quarterback where Jarrett Stidham has been very steady in throwing 16 TD passes and just four interceptions this season and just won’t cause his team to lose games with foolish passes.
The Tigers have a flat-out star that knows how to get in the end zone at running back in junior Kerryon Johnson (1,276 yds, 19 TDs) and best of all, a defense that knows how to completely shut down the opposition. Auburn ranks ninth in points allowed (16.4 ppg) and shut down both, Georgia and Alabama so thoroughly that it was stunning. Make no mistake about it, the Tigers now have my stamp of approval as the ‘smart’ team to back in the chase for this season’s national championship.
The Longshot Pick To Win The 2018 College Football National Championship: Wisconsin +1000
No. 3 Wisconsin may not be getting as much ‘love’ from the AP voters as they should be for their undefeated season because of a perceived lack of quality opponents this season, but I’m here to say the Badgers are offering stupendous value as a +1000 longshot to win it all.
First of all, Wisconsin quarterback Alex Hornibrook is pretty good even if he isn’t in the same class of signal-callers as guys like Baker Mayfield and Mason Rudolph. While the junior has thrown 21 touchdown passes and a fairly high 13 interceptions, he’s also grown by leaps and bounds since last season and is more than good enough to get the Badgers where they want to go, for two reasons.
First, Wisconsin has a genuine superstar in freshman running back Jonathan Taylor (1,806 yards, 13 Tds) that is clearly going to be off to the NFL before you know it. Taylor is big, fast and elusive and the combination of those three skills means that no matter who the Badgers play moving forward, they’re going to have to be fully prepared to stop the clearly, next level runner.
Second – and more importantly, Wisconsin has an outstanding defense that I believe is the best in the country! Case in point…the Badgers have held six of their last seven opponents to 14 points or less and each of their last two opponents to 10 points or less. Wisconsin is ranked a stellar second in points allowed (12.0 ppg) nationally and just always seems to have a player or two in the right place no matter where the other teams tries to go with the ball offensively.
You can dismiss Wisconsin all you want, but I’m here to say, that they could beat anyone and their value as a +100 picks makes them by far, the top longshot selection to win this season’s CFP championship!