Upset Picks College Football Week 4

Stanford vs USC Pac-12 Title Game Odds & Pick

Upset Picks College Football Week 4

College Football is better than the pros because every week there are stunning upsets. If you are looking for a few 5 ⭐ Week 4 college football upset picks then you are at the right place.

My three must bet Week 4 upset picks might be obvious, but you can still cash in. Can UCF upset Maryland against the spread as a road dog? How is Mississippi State going to fair after dominating LSU in Week 3 on the road versus Georgia? Can Cal keep it close versus USC at home?

Upset Picks College Football Week 4

UCF at Maryland
When:  Saturday, Sep. 23 at 3:00 pm ET
Where: Maryland Stadium, College Park, MD
TV: FS1
Odds: UCF +4

Analysis: Central Florida is 1 and 0. Like Miami and Florida State, the Knights had to wait out Hurricane Irma before playing football. What it means is that UCF goes to Maryland having not played football competitively since August 31 when they thumped Florida International 61 to 17.

Maryland upset Texas 51 to 41 before beating Towson 63 to 17. Although 2 and 0, the Terrapins could find it tough to beat UCF on Saturday. The Terrapins’ offense is based on rushing the football.

UCF’s defense only allowed 134 rushing yards per game in the win over Florida International. I see this turning into a shootout with the Knights’ more balanced offense beating the Terps straight up. Take the points if you’re worried.

Pick: UCF money line

#17 Mississippi State at #11 Georgia
When:  Saturday, Sep. 23 at 7:00 pm ET
Where: Sanford Stadium, Athens, GA
TV: ESPN
Odds: Mississippi State +4.5

Analysis: I’m not sold on Georgia. The Bulldogs did beat Notre Dame 20 to 19 as a +5.5-dog at Notre Dame. But, Georgia QB Jake Fromm didn’t play well against the Golden Domers. Fromm didn’t play all that well against Samford in Georgia’s last game.

Mississippi State easily presents the Bulldogs’ toughest challenge yet. The other Bulldogs go into this battle after trouncing then 12 LSU 37 to 7 as a 7.5 home dog. Mississippi State is 3 and 0 straight up and 3 and 0 ATS.

Miss State’s defense allows an average of 9.3 points per game. Georgia doesn’t have much of a shot against the other Bulldogs on Sep. 23.

Pick: Mississippi State money line

#5 USC at California
When:  Saturday, Sept. 23 at 3:30 pm ET
Where: Memorial Stadium, Berkley, CA
TV: ABC
Odds: California +16

Analysis: USC got lucky when beating Texas 27 to 24 in 2 overtimes in Week 3. The Trojans should have lost that game. USC might lose this Saturday against one of the teams expected to be the worst in the Pac 12, the California Golden Bears.

The Bears are undefeated both straight up and against the spread. As a +7-home dog, Cal wasn’t supposed to do much against the Ole Miss Rebels in Week 3. Man, Cal came up huge!

The Golden Bears scored 33 points against an SEC defense. Not only that, but Cal held the Rebels to only 16 points. It was a stepping stone win.

USC is a good football team. Unfortunately, the Trojans’ defense over pursues. That could lead to Cal TDs on Saturday. I think the Bears come up big. They’ll make it a nail biter. They’ve got a shot to upset USC straight up.

Pick: California +16