Upset Picks College Football Week 6Josh Bailey
If you’re looking for teams that are offering college football Week 6 upset betting value, then you’ve undeniably come to the right place. Thanks to my expert analysis in three week 6 collegiate gridiron matchups, that I believe are all offering their own unique upset betting value, you’re going to have an excellent chance to cash in three times this coming weekend.
New AP top 10 …
4. Penn State
10. Ohio State
— SportsCenter (@SportsCenter) October 1, 2017
Now, let’s get to it!
Upset Picks College Football Week 6
Wake Forest (4-1) at No. 2 Clemson (5-0)
When: Saturday, October 7, 2017 at 12:00 PM ET
Where: Clemson Memorial Stadium, Clemson, South Carolina
Odds: Clemson -21.5
Analysis: The Wake Forest Demon Deacons put up a good effort but fell to Florida State 26-19 on Saturday as quarterback John Wolford passed for 271 yards but failed to throw a touchdown while tossing one interception. Wolford did add 63 rushing yards and one score, but no Wake running back had more than 13 rushing yards in the loss.
The second-ranked Clemson Tigers got past Virginia Tech 31-17 on Saturday thanks mostly to a great effort from their powerful defense which picked off Hokies quarterback Josh Jackson twice in the win and forced three turnovers overall. Quarterback Kelly Bryant racked up 280 total yards of offense and the Tigers limited every Virginia Tech runner to 39 yards or less.
While Clemson is the easy pick to get the SU win on the road against Wake Forest, I’m going to urge you to back the Demon Deacons as three-touchdown road underdogs in this one. Wake Forest is a robust 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 conference games and 4-1-1 ATS in their last six games overall.
While the Tigers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games, the Demon Deacons are also 7-2 ATS in their last 9 road games and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 road games against a team with a winning home record. I like Clemson to get the win, but the narrow ATS cover goes to Wake Forest as three-touchdown road dogs!
Upset Pick Week 6: Wake Forest +21.5
Iowa State (2-2) at No. 3 Oklahoma (4-0)
When: Saturday, October 7, 2017 at 12:00 PM ET
Where: Gaylord Family – Oklahoma Memorial Stadium, Norman, Oklahoma
Odds: Oklahoma -28
Analysis: One week after stunning Arkansas, Iowa State got ‘put on lockdown’ in their humbling 17-7 loss against Texas as quarterback Jacob Park got harassed into throwing three interceptions and the Cyclones were held to a pitiful 10 rushing yards on 15 carries. Iowa State went 3-for-12 on third downs and held the ball for less than 20 minutes in the resounding loss.
Sixth-ranked Oklahoma had their hands full in their 49-41 win over rebuilding Baylor as Heisman Trophy-contending quarterback Baker Mayfield threw for 283 yards and three touchdowns. Running back Abdul Adams rushed for 164 yards and one score on 11 carries while fellow back Trey Sermon added 148 rushing yards and two more touchdowns on 12 carries as the Sooners piled up a whopping 342 rushing yards in the win while holding the Bears to just 60 yards on the ground.
While Iowa State looked really offensively-challenged against Texas last week, I’m going to take the four touchdowns and the Cyclones to cover the chalk in this one seeing as how Oklahoma’s defense didn’t look very good in allowing Baylor quarterback Zach Smith to throw for 463 yards with four touchdowns and no interceptions this past weekend.
I know Oklahoma is 7-0 ATS in their last seven home games and 7-1 ATS in their last eight games overall, but Iowa State is 5-1 ATS in their last six games against a team with a winning record, 6-2 ATS in their last eight games following an SU loss and 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games overall.
Upset Pick Week 6: Iowa State +28
No. 4 Penn State Nittany Lions (5-0) at Northwestern Wildcats (2-2)
When: Saturday, October 7, 2017 at 12:0 0 PM ET
Where: Ryan Field, Evanston, Illinois
Odds: Penn State -14
Analysis: Penn State blew Indiana out of the water in its 45-14 Week 5 win just as I predicted following their miracle win’ against Iowa in their previous game. Quarterback Trace McSorley threw for 315 yards with two touchdowns and one interception and Saquon Barkley added 107 combined rushing and receiving yards despite failing to score in the rout.
Northwestern put up a great fight in their 33-24 Week 5 loss to Wisconsin as quarterback Clayton Thorson passed for 219 yards and three touchdown passes. Unfortunately, Thorson also tossed a pair of costly picks and the Wildcats were held to just 25 rushing yards in the loss against the Badgers.
Penn State will have plenty of motivation coming into this matchup as they look to snap a two-game losing streak in this contest. While I expect the Nittany Lions to get the SU win, I also like Northwestern to get the ATS cover by keeping it close against Penn State. I know the championship-hopeful Nittany Lions a near-perfect 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games, but Northwestern is 5-0 ATS in their last five games in the month of October, 5-1 ATS in their last six games following an SU loss and a consistent 7-2 ATS in their last nine games against their Big Ten conference counterparts. Northwestern keeps it closer than expected to get the ATS cover.