College football week 4 betting action has the 11-point underdog No. 18 Utah Utes heading to Eugene to face the No. 13 Oregon Ducks. The game kicks off on FOX this Saturday, Sept 26th at 8:30 PM. Cord-cutters can stream the game live on Fox Sports Go.
What: No. 18 Utah Utes (3-0) at No. 13 Oregon Ducks (2-1)
When: Saturday, Sept 26th, 2015
Kickoff: 8:30 PM ET
Where: Eugene, OR
Stadium: Autzen Stadium
Weather: 69° F/Sprinkles
Spread: Oregon -11
Moneyline: Utah+340 vs Oregon -425
Game Total: 66.5
Stream: Fox Sports Go
Listen: Utah Vs Oregon
Why Bet On #18 Utah to Beat #13 Oregon
Utah has the much better defense.
The Utah Utes have a pretty vanilla offense. It doesn’t put up a lot of points, 31 per game, which ranks sixty-fifth in college football. It doesn’t rack up a lot of yards, 348 per game, which ranks one-hundred and eighth in college football. Utah is not an offensive juggernaut type team.
But what the Utes have that most teams don’t is a very good defense. While most teams have gone to great lengths to increase their offensive prowess, Utah has decided to start with a terrific defense first. The Utes held Michigan to 355 yards and a 2.6 per rush average on the ground. They beat Michigan 24 to 17 as a -5 point home favorite. In their second game, Utah’s D held Utah State to 14 points and 373 yards.
— Utah Athletics (@utahathletics) September 23, 2015
Utah’s defense is going to have to be much better against Oregon’s offense this season than it was last season. Utah allowed the Ducks to rack up 51 points and 508 total yards last season. If the Utes’ defense doesn’t play better, it won’t matter if Oregon QB Vernon Adams has to sit this one out. Oregon could roll to an easy win again.
Why Bet On #13 Oregon to Beat #18 Utah
Oregon’s offense is still one of the most effective in the nation.
Oregon’s only cover against the spread this season was in their loss to Michigan State. In that game, the Ducks could score only 28 points. They lost 31 to 28 as a +5 point road dog. Oregon scored 61 points versus Eastern Washington and 61 points versus Georgia State.
Jeff Lockie started the game in place of Vernon Adams against Georgia State. Lockie was very good. He completed 74.2% of his passes. He threw 2 touchdowns and no interceptions. He passed for 228 yards. If there is any knock against Lockie, it’s the fact that he’s a drop back passer and not much of a runner. He rushed 8 times for only 2 yards.
Oregon’s offense rushed for 311 yards and a 5.9 per yard average against Georgia State. The Ducks average 306.3 yards per game. That ranks Oregon eighth in rushing yards per. The Ducks average 567.3 yards per game on offense.
If Oregon is able to hit their rushing and yards per averages versus Utah on Saturday, they’re likely to blow out the Utes again. But, that isn’t likely to happen. In last season’s game, Marcus Mariota threw for 239 yards and 3 touchdowns. He rushed for 114 yards and 1 TD. Neither Adams nor Lockie is Mariota. Utah can upset the Ducks straight up in this game. Bet the Utes on the moneyline at +340. My final score prediction is Utah 38, Oregon 30.