Washington travels to Tucson to take on 18 Arizona in a Pac 12 matchup that could seriously help Arizona’s chances in the Pac 12 South.
Arizona will only be a game behind rival Arizona State in the Pac 12 South with a victory over Washington. A loss will send Arizona to one of the minor bowl games this college football season. Does Arizona have what it takes to keep pace? Click here for live college football betting spreads.
Washington Huskies at No. 18 Arizona Wildcats
When: Saturday, Nov. 15 at 3:30 pm ET
Where: Arizona Stadium, Tucson, AZ
Betting Line: Arizona -9
Moneyline: Huskies +280 vs Wildcats -340
Analyzing Washington vs Arizona Angainst the Spread Odds
70% of football handicappers so far believe that Arizona will cover the spread against Washington on Saturday. Based on the way that Washington has been playing lately, it’s hard to argue against the 70%.
Washington has been absolutely horrible lately. The Huskies are 1 and 3 straight up in their last 3 games. As a 21 point dog against Oregon, Washington lost 21 to 45. Versus Arizona State as a 3 point dog, Washington lost 10 to 24. Washington was giving 6 points to UCLA in their last game, a home contest, and ended up losing 30 to 44 to the Bruins. The only team that Colorado has beaten straight up and against the spread in their last 4 is the Colorado Buffaloes and in that game, Washington was only favored by 3.
The biggest issue for the Huskies is that their defense, which looked like one of the top units in the Pac 12 early on this season, has really taken a step back. Getting blasted by Oregon’s offense is nothing to be ashamed of since Oregon’s offense blasts everybody’s defense, but allowing a team like UCLA to rack up 44 points and 476 yards against you at home is flat out bad.
Washington is now allowing an average of 416 yards per game. Teams are scoring 26.4 points on average against the Huskies’ defense. What’s worse is that teams average 138.3 yards on the ground against Washington.
That’s bad news for Washington’s fans in regards to this Saturday matchup because Arizona rushes the ball very well. The Wildcats average 192.6 yards per game on the ground. They should easily break that mark against the Huskies’ rushing defense this Saturday. Arizona actually throws the ball well also, which translates to over 500 total yards on average per game and 36.6 points.
— Arizona Football (@ArizonaFBall) November 12, 2014
Defensively, the Wildcats could give up points and yards to Washington, opponents average 438.7 yards and 26.1 points per game against Arizona’s less than stellar defense. But the question is whether or not the Huskies will be able to take advantage. Washington could only muster 20 points against Oregon’s D and 10 points versus ASU’s.
Neither team is all that good against the spread although Arizona appears to be worse. The Wildcats are 1 and 5 ATS versus a team with a winning record, 0 and 4 in their last 4 home games, 1 and 8 against the spread in their last 9 games following a straight up win and 3 and 8 ATS in their last 11 conference games.
The 70% may not be right in this one. Although most football handicappers firmly believe that Arizona should cover, the Wildcats don’t often cover football games as it is. Not only that, but Washington’s defense, as bad as it has been playing, is still somewhat better than Arizona’s.
The betting line figures to drift up to Arizona -10. The Wildcats are a bad bet at -10. Take the points on the Washington Huskies.