Week 11 College Football Free PicksNoah Williams
Another a huge week in college football could send some teams out of the College Football Playoff chase while others move up. Alabama takes on LSU in the premier game this Saturday, but Auburn is in action against Texas A&M while Oregon hosts Utah.
My Week 11 College Football Free Picks
Texas A&M Aggies at No. 3 Auburn Tigers
When: Saturday, Nov. 8 at 3:30 pm ET
Betting Line: Auburn -21.5
Analysis: Auburn hasn’t been the best cover team in college football this season. The Tigers are only 4 and 4 against the spread, but they’ve been terrific when it counted. Even though the loss to Mississippi State earlier in the season put a damper on their plans, the Tigers have bounced back with huge wins over South Carolina and Ole Miss.
Texas A&M will once again start freshman QB Kyle Allen as Kenny Hill waits out the second of a two game suspension. The Aggies are 0 and 5 against the spread in their last 5, including losing to Auburn rival Alabama 0 to 59 two games ago.
The Tigers should roll all over A&M in this matchup.
Pick: Auburn -21.5
No team has a better record than the Tigers in the last 10 seasons when both teams score at least 30 points pic.twitter.com/WuFd6qlQpU
— ESPN CollegeFootball (@ESPNCFB) November 3, 2014
No. 4 Alabama Crimson Tide at No. 15 Louisiana State Tigers
When: Saturday, Nov. 8 at 8:00 pm ET
Betting Line: Alabama -6
Analysis: Speaking of Alabama, this Saturday is their yearly battle against one of the other top programs in the SEC, the LSU Tigers. The Tigers have been awesome lately. The defense has really turned it on while the offense has produced a rushing attack that is averaging over 225 yards per game.
— Alabama Football (@AlabamaFTBL) November 4, 2014
Alabama is one of the worst cover teams in the SEC. The Crimson Tide is only 2 and 6 ATS overall and 0 and 3 against the spread on the road. They look good for this game, though, since the Tide only allows 77 yards per game on the ground and without a solid rushing attack, LSU’s offense should sputter.
It’s tough to beat LSU on the road, much less cover a 6 point spread against them, but Alabama knows that it has to impress if it has any hopes of garnering a spot in the College Football Playoffs. Roll Tide.
Pick: Alabama -6
No. 5 Oregon Ducks at No. 22 Utah Utes
When: Saturday, Nov.8 at 10:00 pm ET
Betting Line: Oregon -9.5
Analysis: Oregon really hasn’t let up since the loss to Arizona. The Ducks have been on an incredible roll, winning games with ease and taking down large point spreads like -21 versus Washington and -17.5 versus Cal on the road.
But the Ducks take on a team that is as good at covering spreads as they are. Utah is 7 and 1 against the spread. Not only that, but the Utes are allowing only 128 yards rushing per game and 21 total points per matchup. Utah may not win the game, but giving up 9.5 points on the road to the Utes is asking too much.
When Utah gets their rushing attack going, it becomes very difficult for opposing teams to get the ball. The Utes figure to keep this one close in a game where the Ducks have to be impressive, but may not have enough to do so.
Pick: Utah +9.5