Week 2 CFB Betting Analysis – No. 8 Michigan State visits No. 3 OregonJosh Bailey
If you’re looking for some expert advice and accompanying free picks on this weekend’s second week of college football action, then you’re in luck.
The eighth-ranked Michigan State Spartans visit the third-ranked Oregon Ducks in a telling affair that will almost certainly have bowl game implications, even at this early juncture of the season. Click here for more college football odds.
— Spartan Football (@MSU_Football) September 2, 2014
Week 2 College Football Betting Analysis – No. 8 Michigan State visits No. 3 Oregon
This contest marks the first regular season matchup featuring top 10 teams for Michigan State since 1966. Having said that…I’ll admit that I’m a bit stunned that Oregon is such a large favorite in this contest.
While these two teams haven’t met since 1999, I believe Michigan State is worthy of their top 10 ranking and will somehow find a way to keep the final score closer to a field goal difference than the nearly two-touchdown spread it is right now.
— GoDucks (@GoDucks) September 1, 2014
Preview: The Spartans (1-0 SU, 1-0 ATS) spanked Jacksonville State 45- 7 in their opener a week ago to cover the spread as a huge, 34-point home favorite as junior quarterback Connor Cook completed 12 of 13 passes for 285 yards with three touchdowns and one interception.
Oregon (1-0 SU, 0-1 ATS) rolled all over South Dakota en route to a commanding 62-13 win but they’ll face a different caliber program in this Week 2 matchup.
The Ducks got a stellar performance from quarterback and Heisman Trophy candidate Marcus Mariota as the junior completed 14 of 20 passes for 267 yards with three touchdowns while sitting out the entire fourth quarter.
Analysis: While I think this home contest is a matchup that Oregon will win outright, I’m not too sure the Ducks are going to be able to cover the spread – and their recent ATS history seems to back that up.
While Oregon has gone 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home, the Ducks are just 1-5 ATS in its last six games overall and just 2-6 ATTS in its L/8 games overall.
Michigan State has won five straight road games and has compiled a solid 3-0-1 ATS mark in their last four non-conference games while also going 7-1 ATS in their last eight games and a blistering 16-5-1 ATS in their last 22 road games overall.