NCAAF Week 5 Against The Spread Picks – Oregon State at No. 18 USC from Los Angeles, CAJosh Bailey
The Oregon State Beavers will look to remain undefeated when they visit the 18th-ranked Southern Cal Trojans in a huge Pac-12 showdown that will likely have postseason implications for both national title hopefuls. Click here for more college football spreads.
Making this even more is the fact that you’re going to get a great ATS pick on this contest
Oregon State at No. 18 USC
When: Saturday, September 27, 2014
Where: Los Angeles Memorial Sports Arena and Coliseum in Los Angeles, US
Spread: USC -13
— FOX Sports West (@FoxSportsWest) September 24, 2014
Use this NCAAF expert against the spread pick that you’re going to get on this intriguing Week 5 matchup, you’re going to have a great chance to cash in with a potentially-winning wager.
NCAAF Against The Spread Picks Preview – Beavers Vs. Trojans
Oregon State (3-0 SU, 1-2 ATS) is coming off an impressive 28-7 Week 4 win over San Diego State while covering the spread for the first time this season as a 10-point home favorite.
The revitalized Beavers picked off Aztecs quarterback Quinn Kaehler twice in the sloppy win but fumbled three times while senior quarterback Sean Mannion tossed one pick.
Mannion however, is the Beavers all-time passing leader with a whopping 11,339 passing yards. The only Pac-12 quarterbacks with more passing yards are former USC signal-caller Matt Barkley (12,327) and fellow ex-Trojan Carson Palmer (11,818).
— Beavers Football (@OSUBeaversFB) September 25, 2014
"Sean Mannion I think is a great player and he has been doing it for quite a while and he’s in a really good scheme," Sarkisian said. "Coach (Mike) Riley does a great job with the play-action pass game. They do a really nice job with their stack and bunch assignments, running two-man routes and really forcing your secondary to communicate on the fly."
The Ducks are averaging 31.7 points per game (68th) and have been monstrous in limiting their opponents to just 17.0 points per game defensively (18th). Oregon State also has some history on their mind coming into this contest riding a dismal 22-game road losing streak against the Trojans,
"They’re making that well known and we know that’s in the back our mind brewing so we want to make history," receiver Hunter Jarmon said.
Southern Cal (2-1 SU, 2-1 ATS) has plenty of motivation as they come into this contest off a stunning 37-31 road loss against Boston College in Week 3 in which they never came close to covering the spread on the road as a 17-point NCAAF betting favorite.
— USC Trojans (@USC_Athletics) September 24, 2014
The Trojans allowed three different BC players to rush for at least 89 yards in the loss with quarterback Tyler Murphy running for a whopping 191 yards.
"It’s always a little bit more difficult when you come off a loss like that and then you have a bye because you have to sit with the loss much longer than you normally would if you were playing the following Saturday," coach Steve Sarkisian said.
Junior quarterback Cody Kessler had a fine game in completing 31 of 41 passes for 317 yards with four touchdowns, but the Trojans’ defense let them down in a big way and the Trojans rushing attack was non-existent as they ran the ball 29 times for a pitiful 20 yards while punting on eight straight possessions in the loss.
USC is averaging 32.0 points per game (66th) while allowing just 20.0 points per contest defensively (31st).
Game Analysis: While USC has won 33 of the last 37 meetings against the Beavers, I don’t think they’re going to cover the spread in this contest as the Beavers push them for the outright win.
I like Oregon State to cover the spread, seeing as how they’ve gone 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games and a blistering 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27 road games against a team with a winning home record.
I know USC has gone 5-1 ATS in their last six home games and 6-2 ATS in their last eight conference games, but the Trojans are also just 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games in September and 2-6 ATS in their last eight home games against a team with a winning road record.
With the Beavers going 5-2 ATS in their last seven meetings against the Trojans and the underdog going 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings, I say the Oregon State Beavers get the ATS cover.
My Pick: Oregon State +13 Points
If you like this pick, then you’ll also like betting on Washington to cover the spread as an 8-point home dog against No. 16 Stanford.