NCAAF Week 7 Parlay Picks – Humbled Sooners & Surprising TCUJosh Bailey
Let’s not waste a single second and jump into my 3-team parlay pick for week 7 of college football betting action.
The ninth-ranked Oklahoma Sooners may have been on the wrong end of a humbling defeat in Week 6, the Big 12 powerhouse, along with another pair of national title hopefuls, highlight this fun-filled NCAAF Week 7 parlay picks betting breakdown.
— College GameDay (@CollegeGameDay) October 6, 2014
With what appears to be another exciting slate of games quickly approaching, let’s get the ball rolling.
NCAAF Week 7 Winning Parlay Picks
Texas Longhorns at No. 9 Oklahoma Sooners
When: Sat, Oct. 11
Where: Cotton Bowl Stadium
Kickoff: 12:00 PM ET
Spread: Oklahoma -14.5
Analysis: Texas got man-handled in its humbling 28-7 Week 6 loss to Big 12 rival Baylor on Sunday while never really challenging the Bears in the humbling loss as sophomore quarterback Tyrone Swoopes completed just 16 of 34 passes for 144 yards with no touchdowns and two interceptions.
“At quarterback, you can always see when they are seeing the rush, as opposed to playing poised in the pocket,” Texas assistant head coach for offense Shawn Watson said after the loss to Baylor. “I talked to him about it during the game, just staying calm in the pocket and keeping his eyes where his work was — flashing — and he got nervous and he had some throws that were correct reads, but they were behind. That’s because we weren’t on balance and all things. A young quarterback, you go through this with them. There are a lot of speed bumps with them and you just have to keep working.”
While the Longhorns played solid defense in keeping the explosive Bears well under their 42.4 points per game average, the Longhorns struggled mightily to find the end zone until they scored with just over two minutes remaining in regulation.
Oklahoma’s once vaunted defense got shredded for the second straight week as they lost to TCU 37-33 on Saturday as a 3.5-point road fave to snap their three-game ATS winning streak.
Still, Oklahoma’s loss is one of the reasons I really like the Sooners to win and cover the spread in this one.
"This isn’t the defining moment of our season. There’s a lot of football left," Sooners quarterback Trevor Knight. "Who knows what’s down the road. It’s early in the season, a one-loss team can still make it."
While Texas pulled off a huge shocker to win last season’s annual clash 36-20 and cash in as a 13.5-point home dog, Oklahoma won each of the previous three meetings, including two straight by at least 38 points and I expect a bit of the same in this matchup.
The Sooners are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games overall and the favorite in this longtime Big 12 rivalry is 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
I say, keep it simple and back the Sooners to win and win big at home.
The Pick: Oklahoma Sooners -9 Points
North Carolina Tar Heels at No. 5 Notre Dame Fighting Irish
When: Sat, Oct. 11
Where: Notre Dame Stadium
Kickoff: 3:30 PM ET
Spread: Notre Dame -16.5
Analysis: Notre Dame is coming off an exciting 17-14 win over Now. No. 22 Stanford on Saturday that was capped off by quarterback Everett Golson’s game-winning touchdown throw to tight end Ben Koyack with 61 seconds remaining in regulation.
Making the play even more breath-taking was the fact that it came on fourth-and-11 from the 23-yard-line with the Fighting Irish trailing 14-10.
"I went to my first read and it wasn’t there and I needed to begin improvising a little bit," Golson said. "I guess they busted the coverage a little bit and I found Koyack in the back of the end zone."
Koyack said he broke off his route when he saw the coverage and hoped Golson would see him.
"He did," he said. "It felt like the ball was in the air for about an hour."
Golson completed 20 of 43 passes for 241 yards with two touchdowns and one interception to lead Notre Dame to victory while the Fighting Irish picked off Stanford quarterback Kevin Hogan twice.
With the win, Golson improved to a mind-boggling 15-1 as a starting quarterback. The fleet-footed signal-caller’s 93.8 percent winning percentage is the best in school history.
"The kid’s a winner and he keeps competing and he keeps playing," Notre Dame head coach Brian Kelly said. "And he has a bunch of winners around him. So you never feel like you’re out of it. You just keep playing and keep giving it a shot."
The Fighting Irish improved to 5-0 for just the third time since Lou Holtz left in 1996, though it is the second time it has happened in the last three seasons.
North Carolina has lost three straight, including its humbling 34-17 Week 6 loss to Virginia Tech while falling to a dismal 0-5 ATS on the season by failing to cover the spread as a 2.5-point home underdog.
The Tar Heels have lost their first two ACC games for the second consecutive season and saw their defense get toasted for the third straight week, after giving up an insane 70 points to ECU in Week 4 and 50 points to Clemson in Week 5.
While the Tar Heels average a whopping 36.0 points per game, they also have an awful defense that gives up a stunning 42.0 points per contest defensively while Notre Dame has limited their opponents to a paltry 12.0 points per contest.
North Carolina is 3-10 ATS in their last 13 road games and 2-9 ATS in their last 11 road games against a team with a winning home record while Notre Dame has gone 4-1 ATS in their last five games following an SU win and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
I’ll be shocked if this game isn’t well in hand for the Fighting Irish by halftime.
The Pick: Notre Dame -16.5 Points
If you like this two-team parlay, then you might try adding the following game to make it a value-packed three-team parlay. While the odds of cashing in on a three-team parlay are tougher, the financial return is well worth the investment.
No. 18 Oklahoma State Cowboys at Kansas Jayhawks
When: Sat, Oct. 11
Where: Memorial Stadium
Kickoff: 4:00 PM ET
Spread: Oklahoma State -20
Analysis: 18th-ranked Oklahoma State used a well-balanced offense to pound Iowa State 37-20 on Saturday and improve to a perfect 4-0 after narrowly dropping its regular season opener 37-31 against Florida State.
The Cowboys were aided by a controversial call just prior to halftime after being locked in a tight affair against the Cyclones.
Running back Desmond Roland was awarded a touchdown on the final play of the half played after it was initially called short of the goal line, changing what would have been a 6-all tie at the half, into a 13-6 deficit the Cyclones would never recover from.
Iowa State coach Paul Rhoads said the reversal was unfair.
"We gave them a short field and gave the ball back to them, and then stood up as a defense and did execute, and had a chance to go to the locker room 6-6, with momentum on our side after a bad play," he said. "That did not happen today. Apologies are no good. Apologies don’t bring back the outcome of what just took place."
Oklahoma State quarterback Daxx Garman struggled throughout the contest, completing 26 of 41 passes for 271 yards with just one touchdown, though Roland did score twice on the ground.
Kansas got man-handled in its 33-14 Week 6 loss to West Virginia, though they did somehow manage to cover the spread as a whopping 27-point road dog.
Kansas lost its 26th straight road game and saw punter Trevor Pardula punt an insane 14 time as interim head coach Clint Bowen made his debut in place of the recently fired Charlie Weiss. The Jayhawks were held to just 176 total yards and a paltry nine first downs.
After throwing four interceptions one week earlier, Jayhawks sophomore quarterback Montell Cozart completed just 4 of 10 passes for 42 yards while two other Kansas quarterbacks combined to go 9 for 18 for 69 yards in the second half.
This Week 7 pick is as easy as pie seeing as how Oklahoma State has gone 21-5-1 ATS in their last 27 games in the month of October, 7-2 ATS in their last nine conference games and a consistent 19-7 ATS in their L/26 games against a team with a losing record.
The Kansas Jayhawks are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games and 3-8 ATS in their last 11 home games, not to mention, a pitiful 1-4 ATS in their last five home games against the Cowboys.
Oklahoma State wins this one and wins it big people!
The Pick: Oklahoma State -20 Points