The Baylor Bears are putting points on the board like a pinball machine and have risen to No. 2 in the national rankings as they get set for their Week 7 Big 12 matchup against a ‘desperate’ West Virginia team that has lost two straight games.
Now, let’s find out if the explosive bears can bring home the bacon as three-touchdown home faves against a Mountaineers team that will be going all-out to snap its modest losing streak.
A Closer Look At The West Virginia Mountaineers at No. 2 Baylor Bears College Football Week 7 Odds & TV Info
What: West Virginia Mountaineers (3-2) at No. 2 Baylor Bears (5-0)
When: Saturday, October 17, 2015
Kickoff: 12:00 PM ET
Where: Waco, TX
Stadium: McLane Stadium
Weather: 85° F | More Sun Than Clouds
Spread: Baylor -21
Moneyline: West Virginia +900 vs Baylor -1375
Game Total: 78
Stream: FOX Sports Go
Listen: West Virginia vs Baylor
Bet The West Virginia Mountaineers at +21 Because…
They have to win to avoid any chance of an 0-4 start in Big 12 play.
West Virginia has been one of those ‘Dr. Jekyll and Mr. Hyde kind of teams through five games this season. After winning their first three games of the 2015 campaign, the Mountaineers have dropped two straight, but at least they showed up and played well in their heartbreaking 33-26 overtime loss against unbeaten No. 16 Oklahoma State the last time out.
Quarterback Skyler Howard was limited to 18 of 35 passing for 188 yards with one touchdown and one interception and the Mountaineers defense picked off Cowboys signal-caller Mason Rudolph three times.
— Sports Illustrated (@SInow) October 8, 2015
The Mountaineers were in good shape t get the ‘W’ after Howard ran three yards for a touchdown with 2:44 left in regulation to tie the score at 26, but his fourth-and-11 pass in overtime fell incomplete in the end zone and Oklahoma State backup quarterback J.W. Walsh scored on a fourth-down keeper in overtime to lift the Cowboys to victory. Now, the Mountaineers will enter their Week 7 matchup in total desperation mode.
Bet The Baylor Bears at -21 Because…
The Mountaineers have committed an Big 12-worst 11 turnovers in 6 games including 9 in the the past 2 weeks resulting in back to back losses to Oklahoma and Oklahoma State.
Baylor pounded Big 12 rival Kansas 66-7 to easily cash in as a 13-point road favorite as quarterback Seth Russell passed for 246 yards and three touchdowns and running back Shock Linwood added 135 yards rushing yards and one touchdown. Russell and Linwood played only the first half after helping the Bears to a whopping 52-7 lead at the break and scores on each of their first eight possessions.
Baylor ranks first in total offense, eighth in passing, second in rushing and first in scoring by putting up an average of 64.2 points per game.
— Sports Illustrated (@SInow) October 13, 2015
Expert Pick & Final Score Prediction
An overwhelming 65 percent of the betting public likes Baylor to cover the spread as three-touchdown home favorites, but I’m ‘going the other way’ with my pick here and rolling with the 35 percent of bettors that likes West Virginia to cover as huge road dogs.
First and foremost, the Mountaineers have the better statistical defense in allowing just 20.0 points per game to Baylor’s 22.0 points allowed per contest. The Mountaineers may not have an offense quite like Baylor’s (who does?) but they still average a healthy 36.0 points per contest and have their share of playmakers, though not nearly as many as Baylor.
With the Bears going 25-6 ATS in their last 31 home games and 5-2 ATS in their last seven conference games, they’ve surely got the ATS trends to justify picking them to cover, but I like West Virginia a lot and I believe their underrated defense will at least allow them to cover the spread. My final score prediction is West Virginia 24, Baylor 42.