Expert NFL Picks Week 4 Baltimore Battles Cleveland in AFC North Showdown

More 2014 NFL Preseason Week 1 Picks

While betting on NFL preseason football is nothing like wagering on the regular season, there is still money to be made during the dress rehearsal season – if you know where to look for value.

Having said that, this expert betting analysis and free picks on a trio of Saturday Week 1 NFL preseason contest will help you get your 2014 betting season off to a positive and productive start.

Cleveland Browns at Detroit Lions Pk
Over/Under 39.5
When: 7:30 PM ET, Saturday, August 9, 2014
Where: Ford Field, Detroit, Michigan

Analysis: The Cleveland Browns are looking to get back to being a respectable franchise after not winning more than five games since the 2007 season.

The Detroit Lions are looking to take the next step in their evolution into perennial title contender under no-nonsense head coach Jim  Caldwell after years of dysfunction under former head coach Jim Schwartz.

The Browns went 3-1 SU and 2-1-1 ATS in their four preseason games a year ago while Detroit went 3-1 SU and ATS in their four ‘don’t count’ games of 2013.

Basically, after each team’s stating quarterback leaves this contest early on, it will be up to each team’s backups to get the job done – and the win.

Detroit will go with Dan Orlovsky and Kellen Moore once starter Matthew Stafford departs while Cleveland will go with ballyhooed rookie Johnny Manziel and veteran backup Tyler Thigpen.

While I love Manziel and believe he’s going to have a successful career in the NFL, I like Detroit’s more experienced backups to lead the Lions to the outright SU win and accompanying ATS victory.

Detroit has had issues with immaturity in recent years, but they do have a plethora of talent on their roster on both sides of the ball.

Cleveland – and first-year head coach Mike Pettine – are just trying to figure out how to become a consistent challenger. 

My Pick: This call isn’t particularly tough if you ask me. Play the Lions to win and cash in as a Pick ‘em.

Green Bay Packers at Tennessee Titans -2
Over/under 38
When: 8:00 PM ET, Saturday, August 9, 2014
Where: LP Field, Nashville, Tennessee

I have no idea why the Tennessee Titans are favored in this contest, seeing as how the Green bay Packers have a pair of solid backup quarterbacks that are probably better than all of Tennessee’s signal-callers, including starter, Jake Locker.

Veteran backup Matt Flynn and third-stringer Scott Tolzien have years of experience playing for the Packers and Mike McCarthy while Tennessee’s Locker and backups, Charlie Whitehurst and Zack Mettenberger have plenty of talent, but not a lot of experience.

Green Bay and Tennessee recorded identical 1-3 SU and ATS marks in their respective
four preseason games last season, leading me to believe the Packers in particular, want to do a lot better this preseason in effort to jumpstart their regular season campaign.

My Pick: Play the Green Bay Packers to get ‘er done!

Houston Texans at Arizona Cardinals -1.5
Over/Under 38
When: 8:30 PM ET, Saturday, August 9, 2014
Where: University of Phoenix Stadium, Glendale, Arizona

The Houston Texans have a new head coach in the widely-respected Bill O’Brien, but they’ve got a ton of questions at quarterback if you ask me.

The Arizona Cardinals are looking to build on their fantastic 2013 campaign under venerable head coach Bruce Arians in which they won 10 games but got left on the outside looking in come playoff time.

The Texans and Cardinals both went 3-1 SU and ATS in four preseason games a year ago, but we all know that Houston fell completely apart in winning just two regular season games.

The outcome of this contest is fairly simple in my mind with Houston trotting out Starter, Ryan Fitzpatrick and backups, Case Keenum and Tom Savage.

Arizona will counter with former Pro Bowl signal-caller Carson Palmer, veteran backup Drew Stanton and youngsters, Ryan Lindley and Logan Thomas.

I like the Cardinals to pick up right where they left off last season, playing outstanding ‘shut-down’ defense to stymie the rebuilding Texans in O’Brien’s unofficial debut!

My Pick: Arizona Cardinals -1.5 Points


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