With the NFL now a passing league first, landing a top quarterback on draft day might be a tough bet. There is little debate among the top two, other than what order should they be ranked. Between Andrew Luck and Aaron Rodgers, you likely have this year’s top fantasy QB. Sadly, you also have to spend one of your first two picks to get one.
A Closer Look At The 2015 Vegas NFL QB Props Vs QB Fantasy Rankings
Right now, the Las Vegas odds have Andrew Luck as the favorite. It’s hard to argue with that assertion since Luck is ranked either first or second on most QB fantasy player lists. Luck could throw for more than the 4,761 yards this season than what he threw for in 2014. Luck’s new wide receiver, Andre Johnson, is a pro that demands to be double-teamed. That will leave T.Y. Hilton, the Colts’ best wide receiver from last season, open more often than not.
Who Will Have More Pass Yards?
Andrew Luck -115
Drew Brees -105
Matt Ryan -110
Ben Roethlisberger -110
Eli Manning +130
Peyton Manning -150
Philip Rivers +110
Aaron Rodgers -130
Ryan Tannehill +115
Matthew Stafford -135
Who Will Have More Passing And Rush Yards
Russell Wilson -120
Cam Newton +100
The man ranked ahead of Luck on some QB fantasy player lists is Aaron Rodgers at Green Bay. Rodgers’ odds to lead the league in passing yards this season is around 6 to 1. Rodgers threw for 4,381 yards in 2014. Rodgers is always a good fantasy play and a good play in the sports books. He’s one of the best quarterbacks to ever play the game already. Depending on what happens from now until the end of his career, Rodgers might end up being the best QB of all time.
Drew Brees is the second choice according to the Las Vegas odds for yards this season. Brees is ranked in the Top 5 on the fantasy lists, but it’s difficult to find any list that shows Brees in the Top 3. What’s interesting about Brees is that he’s thrown for close to 4,500 yards in every season that he’s spent in New Orleans. This includes 2006 when the Saints’ Deuce McCallister rushed for 1,057 yards. The Saints should run the ball more this season. But to Saints’ Coach Sean Payton, short passes count as runs. Brees could throw the ball for 1 to 2 yards to C.J. Spiller and Spiller could take it 80 yards. The 80 yards count as passing yards.
A couple of great underdogs on the Las Vegas odds list that could be the NFL Passing Leader this season are Big Ben Roethlisberger from the Pittsburgh Steelers and Tom Brady from New England. Because Brady is going to miss the first 4 games of the season, his odds are above 20 to 1 to lead the league in passing yards. Brady only passed for 4,109 yards last season. But, the Pats will be without Shane Vereen and Stevan Ridley this season, meaning that Brady will have to go to his wide receivers more. Brady is ranked ninth or tenth on most fantasy draft boards.
Big Ben passed for 4,952 yards last season. Roethlisberger has stated that the Steelers are shooting for at least 30 points per game in 2015. Le’veon Bell is a very good pass catching RB. The Steelers’ QB is ranked in the Top 10 on most fantasy QB lists. Roethlisberger deserves serious consideration for this prop as well as for fantasy players.
Most Passing Yards
Peyton Manning 7/1
Eli Manning 15/1