Colin Kaepernick is back in the under center and in the hot seat for the San Francisco 49ers and this week they face the enigmatic Buffalo Bills. The Week 6 NFL spread favors the Bills by 7.5-points.
The game kicks-off on FOX this Sunday, October 16 at 1:00 PM ET, from the New Era Field, in Buffalo, New York.
San Francisco 49ers Vs Buffalo Bills Spread, ATS Pick & TV Info
What: San Francisco 49ers (1-4) at Buffalo Bills (3-2)
When: Sunday, October 16, 2016
Start Time: 1:00 PM ET
Where: Buffalo, NY
Stadium: New Era Field
Spread: Bills -7.5
Moneyline: San Francisco +320 at Buffalo -390
Game Total: 44.5
Watch: FOX Sports
Stream: Fox Sports Go
Listen: San Francisco vs Buffalo
Why Bet The San Francisco 49ers To Beat The Bills
The San Francisco 49ers have looked awful offensively after going 1-4 SU and 1-4 ATS this season. They average 22.2 points per game (18th) and allow 28.0 points per game (28th).
The 49ers average a measly 170.0 passing yards per game (31st). QB Blaine Gabbert (890 yards, 5 TDs & 6 INTs) has been bad as his stats point to this season. He has completed 58.0% of his passes and had posted a 69.6 passer rating through five weeks.
HC Chip Kelly will turn to QB Colin Kaepernick (3369 yards, 19 TDs & 10 INTs in 2015) this weeks in hopes of turning the tide. Kaepernick added 256 rushing yards and one rushing touchdown last season. He hasn’t played since November 1st of last year when the 49ers faced the then St. Louis Rams.
WRs Jeremy Kerley and Garrett Celek have combined for 439 receiving yards and two touchdowns while Quinton Patton has 12 receptions.
San Francisco averages 121.4 rushing yards per game (8th). RB Carlos Hyde (95 car, 377 yards, 6 TDs) is the top back in Kelly’s offense.
San Francisco has the 22nd-ranked total defense in the NFL. The 49ers allow 223.0 passing yards per game (10th) and 146.8 rushing yards per game (31st). They have recorded eight sacks this season (25th). NaVorro Bowman is in the IR, but he still leads the team with tackles. Ahmad Brooks has 2.0 sacks.
Why Bet The Buffalo Bills To Beat The 49ers
The Buffalo Bills started started the season with 2 straight losses. HC Rex Ryan was on the hot seat and now the Bills are riding a three-game winning streak. They are 3-2 SU and 3-2 ATS this season. The Bills average 23.4 points per game (14th) and give up 17.4 points per game (5th).
QB Tyrod Taylor (897 yards, 6 TDs & 2 INTs) completed only 12 of 23 passes for 124 yards against Los Angeles last week. But he threw two touchdowns to help his team win on the road. Buffalo averages 169.4 passing yards per game (32nd).
With Sammy Watkins out, WR Robert Woods (20 rec, 196 yards, 0 TD) and TE Charles Clay (17 rec, 187 yards, 0 TD) are the team’s primary receivers. Neither has caught a touchdown this season.
The Bills average 137.2 rushing yards per game (3rd). RB LeSean McCoy (85 car, 447 yards, 3 TDs) has averaged 110.0 rushing yards per game over the last three weeks. Coincidently it started when Anthony Lynn was promoted to offensive coordinator after week two.
Buffalo has the 17th-ranked total defense in the NFL. The Bills allow 257.0 passing yards (17th) and 97.2 rushing yards (13th) per game. They have recorded 17 sacks this season (3rd). Zach Brown leads the NFL with 57 tackles. Lorenzo Alexander leads the league with 7.0 sacks.
Betting Trends For This Matchup:
- San Francisco is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
- San Francisco is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
- San Francisco is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
- San Francisco is 1-11 SU in its last 12 games on the road
- Buffalo is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
- Buffalo is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
- Buffalo is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
- Buffalo is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
Expert ATS Pick & Final Score Prediction
The return of Colin Kaepernick will give the Niners a spark on offense. The hostile Bills-mafia will be reigning the boo birds on Kaepernick for his protests. I expect the Bills to win, but the Niners will cover the betting spread.
My final score prediction is San Francisco 20, Buffalo 24.