The Miami Dolphins are eager to push their winning streak to six when they face the one-win San Francisco 49ers this Sunday. The Week 12 NFL 49ers vs Dolphins betting spread favors the home team by 7.5-points. Kick-off is this Sunday, November 27th at 1:00 PM ET on FOX from the Hard Rock Stadium, in Miami, Florida.
San Francisco 49ers Vs Miami Dolphins Spread & ATS Pick
What: San Francisco 49ers (1-9) at Miami Dolphins (6-4)
When: Sunday, November 27, 2016
Start Time: 1:00 PM ET
Where: Miami, FL
Stadium: Hard Rock Stadium
Spread: Dolphins -9
Moneyline: San Francisco +320 vs Miami -390
Game Total: 45.5
Watch: FOX Sports
Stream: Fox Sports Go
Listen: San Francisco vs Miami
Why Bet The San Francisco 49ers To Beat The Dolphins
The San Francisco 49ers enter this game with nine losses in a row. The 30-17 home defeat to the Patriots last week dropped them to 1-9 SU and 2-8 ATS this season. They average 20.4 points per game (23rd) and allow 31.3 points per game (32nd).
The Niners average 189.8 passing yards per game (31st). QB Colin Kaepernick (1144 yards, 7 TDs & 2 INTs) hasn’t given the offense the lift the coaches were expecting. Kaepernick completed 16 of 30 passes for 206 yards and two touchdowns against the Patriots. It wasn’t nearly enough. WR Jeremy Kerley (40 rec, 424 yards, 3 TD) is the most top wideout in this offense, which explains a lot. San Francisco averages 119.8 rushing yards per game (5th). RB Carlos Hyde (141 car, 529 yards, 6 TDs) ran for 86 yards on 19 carries against New England.
San Francisco has the 31st-ranked total defense in the NFL. They allow 252.0 passing yards per game (14th) and 179.5 rushing yards (32nd). Antoine Bethea has 66 tackles, and Ahmad Brooks has 3.5 sacks.
Why Bet The Miami Dolphins To Beat The 49ers
The Miami Dolphins beat the Los Angeles Rams 14-10 last week, their fifth win in a row. They are 6-4 SU and ATS this season. They average 21.8 points per game (21st) and allow 21.6 points per game (15th).
Miami averages 211.7 passing yards per game (29th). QB Ryan Tannehill (2289 yards, 12 TDs & 8 INTs) has done just enough to keep his team winning. Last week the Dolphins’ first ten drives ended in punts. Tannehill managed did close the game with two touchdowns after 54 minutes of pedestrian play.
"I told the guys right before that going on that first touchdown drive, ‘Hey, everyone take a deep breath. We’re going to win this game,’" Tannehill said. "And that’s what we did."
WR Jarvis Landry (60 rec, 686 yards, 2 TDs) scored his second touchdown of the season bulldozing his way to the end zone last week. WR Kenny Stills (23 rec, 408 yards, 4 TDs) remains as the team’s leader in touchdown receptions. The Dolphins average 118.1 rushing yards per game (8th). RB Jay Ajayi (143 car, 802 yards, 6 TDs) has averaged 78.5 rushing yards per game in the last two weeks. Ajayi’s matchup against the worst rushing defense in the NFL is a favorable one for the Dolphins.
The Dolphins have the 14th-ranked total defense in the NFL. They give up 225.0 passing yards per game (8th) and 126.1 rushing yards per game (30th). Kiko Alonso leads the team with 79 tackles, and Ndamukong Suh has 5.0 sacks.
Betting Trends for this Matchup:
- San Francisco is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games
- San Francisco is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
- Miami is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
- Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
- Miami is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
- Miami is 5-11 ATS in its last 16 games at home
- Miami is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
49ers Vs Dolphins ATS Pick & Final Score Prediction
The line has wavered between 7.5 and 8.5. Public bets are split on these two teams. Sharps are betting on the 49ers mostly, grabbing the +8.5s that were available and still showed support at +8, but it’s leveled off now.
My final score prediction is San Francisco 14, Miami 24.