We are heading into Week 4 of the Alliance of America Football league. Attendance might be struggling, but that doesn’t mean you can’t make a few bucks on a few smart bets on AAF Week 4 action.
AAF Week 4 Odds & Betting Analysis
Orlando Apollos -4 at Salt Lake Stallions
When: Saturday, March 2 at 4:00 pm ET
Where: Rice-Eccles Stadium, Salt Lake City, UT
Betting Analysis: In Week 3, the Salt Lake Stallions handed the Arizona Hotshots their first loss of the season. Salt Lake beat Zona 23-15. However, John Wolford, Arizona’s starting quarterback, got hurt during the game. Salt Lake most definitely took advantage of the situation.
That doesn’t mean they can’t beat Orlando straight up on Saturday, though. The Apollos barely got buy Memphis 21-17 as a -9 favorite. Orlando remains undefeated after 3 weeks, but if we learned anything from AAF Week 3, it’s that these teams are much closer in terms of talent than many of us thought after Week 1.
Salt Lake turns their win over the Hotshots into a streak with a victory and cover against Orlando.
Pick: Salt Lake Stallions
San Diego Fleet -6½ at Memphis Express
When: Saturday, March 2 at 8:00 pm ET
Where: Liberty Bowl Stadium, Memphis, TN
Betting Analysis: Memphis played the Orlando Apollos tough, but they’ll have a difficult time keeping the San Diego Fleet from rushing all over them. In Week 2, the Fleet dominated the Atlanta Legends on the ground with 181 rushing yards.
Then, in Week 3, the Fleet rushed for 202 rushing yards versus San Antonio’s supposedly decent defense. Memphis allowed Orlando to rush for 174 yards in the Week 3 loss. San Diego runs for a win and cover.
Pick: San Diego Fleet
San Antonio Commanders at Birmingham Iron -7
When: Sunday, March 3 at 4:00 pm ET
Where: Legion Field Stadium, Birmingham, AL
Betting Analysis: Birmingham will have a big edge when they take on the San Antonio Commanders in Week 4. The Iron are undefeated, yes, but the real reason to like them against San Antonio is because they’ve lived up to their name.
Birmingham’s defense is made out of iron. They held Memphis to 0 points in Week 1. In Week 2, they kept Salt Lake to 9, and then in Week 3, they beat Atlanta 28-12. San Antonio won’t score more than 10 on Sunday. Birmingham wins straight up and against the spread.
Pick: Birmingham Iron
Atlanta Legends at Arizona Hotshots -13½
When: Sunday, March 3 at 8:00 pm ET
Where: Sun Devil Stadium, Tempe, AZ
Betting Analysis: We don’t know if Arizona starting quarterback John Wolford will play on March 3. Wolford left the game versus Salt Lak after taking a massive hit and throwing an interception. Even if Wolford doesn’t play, Arizona should handle Atlanta on Sunday.
Back-up Trevor Knight will have had a full week of practice with the first team. Not only that, but Atlanta hasn’t gotten any closer than 12 points in any of their 3 straight losses. The Hotshots beat the Legends and cover the spread.
Pick: Arizona Hotshots