One of the most disappointing teams in 2016, the Arizona Cardinals, are on the hunt for their fifth win of the season when they visit the rested Atlanta Falcons on Sunday. The NFL Week 12 betting spread favors the Falcons by 4-points. Kick-off is this Sunday, November 27 at 1:00 PM ET on ESPN from the Georgia Dome, in Atlanta, Georgia.
Arizona Cardinals Vs Atlanta Falcons Spread & ATS Pick
What: Arizona Cardinals (4-5-1) at Atlanta Falcons (6-4)
When: Sunday, November 27, 2016
Start Time: 1:00 PM ET
Where: Atlanta, GA
Stadium: Georgia Dome
Spread: Falcons -4
Moneyline: Arizona +173 vs Atlanta -205
Game Total: 50.5
Watch: FOX Sports
Stream: Fox Sports Go
Listen: Arizona vs Atlanta
Why Bet The Arizona Cardinals To Beat The Atlanta Falcons
The Arizona Cardinals are currently not in the NFL playoff picture with a 4-5-1 SU record and 3-7 ATS. They are coming off a 30-24 loss last week against the Minnesota Vikings. They average 22.6 points per game (18th) and allow 19.0 points per game (10th).
Arizona averages 261.1 passing yards per game (11th). QB Carson Palmer (2642 yards, 13 TDs & 10 INTs) has looked old out there. Palmer completed 20 of 38 passes for 198 yards against the Vikings last week. He threw two touchdowns and two interceptions. WR Larry Fitzgerald (74 rec, 749 yards, 5 TD) was his number one target against the fearless Minnesota defense. Fitzgerald caught six passes for 63 yards. The Cardinals average 111.7 rushing yards per game (13th). RB David Johnson (197 car, 863 yards, 10 TDs) has been a stud all season. He carried the ball 22 times for 103 yards last week. He ran for a touchdown and caught another one.
"Just taking turns making mistakes, and that’s frustrating," Fitzgerald said. "Six games left in the regular season at this point and we have no room for error moving forward. None. We are fighting and scratching right now and every week is pivotal."
The Cardinals have the top-ranked total defense in the NFL. They allow 190.0 passing yards per game (1st) and 97.5 rushing yards per game (10th). Deone Bucannon has 73 tackles, and Chandler Jones has 8.0 sacks.
Why Bet The Atlanta Falcons To Beat Cardinals
The Atlanta Falcons are coming off a bye week. They sit at the top of the NFC South with a 6-4 SU record and ATS. They average 32.0 points per game (1st) and allow 28.3 points per game (29th).
QB Matt Ryan (3247 yards, 24 TDs & 5 INTs) has played like a MVP all season. His passer rating of 115.1 this season is second best in the NFL. WR Julio Jones (61 rec, 1105 yards, 5 TDs) is the only wideout who has eclipsed the 1000-yard mark this season. Atlanta averages 107.6 rushing yards per game (14th). RB Devonta Freeman (145 car, 669 yards, 3 TD) will lead the rushing attack. But RB Tevin Coleman (59 car, 234 yards, 5 TDs) is expected to play for the first time since week 7.
Atlanta has the 27th-ranked total defense in the NFL. They give up 283.0 passing yards per game (31st) and 102.9 rushing yards per game (16th). Keanu Neal leads the team with 66 tackles, and Vic Beasley Jr. has 9.5 sacks.
Betting Trends for the matchup:
- Arizona is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
- Arizona is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
- Arizona is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
- Atlanta is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games
- Atlanta is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games
- Atlanta is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing Arizona
Expert ATS Pick & Final Score Prediction
The public loves the Falcons this season becasue their offense is No. 3 in yards per game and averaging 32 points per game. The Cardinals have sturggled to keep the public confidence with their underwhelming record.
Sharp bets are split on this game.
The Falcons are 8-2 with the over, including 4-0 at home. The Cardinals are more of an under team at 7-3 and I expect their No. 1-rated defense to contain the Falcons’ offense as much as anyone can. In addition, the Atlanta defense should come back fresh from the bye and help keep this under the inflated total.
My final score prediction is Arizona 24, Atlanta 27.