Atlanta Falcons at New Orleans Saints TNF Odds, Predictions & Pick

Broncos Vs Saints Odds & Pick

Atlanta Falcons at New Orleans Saints TNF Odds, Predictions & Pick

NFL week 6 betting action opens with the undefeated Atlanta Falcons swooping into the Superdome to face the struggling, 3-point underdog New Orleans Saints. The two NFC South rivals are headed in different directions. The Falcons are off to a 5-0 start, their best since 2012. On the flip side, the Saints are 1-4 and in the midst of their worst start since 2012 when head coach Sean Payton was suspended for the entire season for Bountygate.

A Closer Look At How To Bet The Atlanta Falcons at New Orleans Saints Week 6 Thursday Night Football Odds

What: Atlanta Falcons (5-0) at New Orleans Saints (1-4)
When: Thursday, October 15, 2015
Kickoff: 8:25 PM ET 
Where: New Orleans, LA
Stadium: Mercedes-Benz Superdome
Weather: N/A
Spread: Falcons -3
Moneyline: Atlanta -165 vs New Orleans +145
Game Total: 51
Watch: CBS/NFL
Stream: CBS Sports
Listen: Atlanta vs New Orleans

If You Are Betting On The Atlanta Falcons Odds At -3

The Atlanta Falcons have exploded to a 5-0 and 4-1 against the spread record so far this season. The Falcons average 32.4 points (3rd), 280.2 passing yards (8th) and 126.0 rushing yards (9th) per game. Last week they barely got past Washington, winning late by a 25-19 score. The Falcons could easily be 1-4, they have trailed in the fourth quarter in four of their five games this season.

QB Matt Ryan has started the season hot, throwing for 1456 yards, 6 TDs & 4 INTs while completing 64.9% of his passes. Last week, he tossed two picks and lost one fumble, and his 254 yards passing and 55.1 rating were his lowest of the season.

His top target has been WR Julio Jones (43 rec, 545 yards, 4 TDs) who is dealing with a hamstring injury that could prevent him from playing on Thursday. Supplanting Roddy White (8 rec, 115 yards, 0 TDs) as the other top wide-out for the Falcons this season is WR Leonard Hankerson (18 rec, 254 yards, 2 TDs), but he is also questionable with a rib injury. 

Leading the league in touchdowns is Devonta Freeman (93 att, 405 yards, 8 TDs). The second year rusher started the season second on the depth chart, but took advantage of his opportunity to start when rookie Tevin Coleman was shelved due to injury. Over the last three weeks, Freeman’s averaged 5.1 yards per carry while running for 362 and became the first player to rush for seven TDs in his first three starts.

“I’m thinking touchdown every play,” he said. “Whenever I get the ball, seize the moment.”

Atlanta’s defense allows 22.4 points (15th), 288.0 passing yards (29th) and 78.4 rushing yards (1st) per game. Paul Worrilow leads the Falcons with 33 tackles, Vic Beasley Jr. has two sacks and Robert Alford has two interceptions.

If You Are Betting On The New Orleans Saints Odds At +3

The New Orleans Saints Are 1-4 straight up and 2-3 against the spread so far in 2015. The Saints average 20.6 points (21st), 302.0 passing yards (3rd) and 85.4 rushing yards (29th) per game. Last week they lost to the dysfunctional Eagles by a score of 39-17

QB Drew Brees is still dealing with a shoulder problem and has thrown for 1304 yards, 6 TDs 6 3 INTs while completing 66.5% of his passes. The good news is he is 7-2 against the Falcons at New Orleans, the bad news is he threw two INTs and a TD in last season’s loss there.

Rookie WR Willie Snead (22 rec, 381 yards, 1 TD) has emerged as Brees top target. WR Brandin Cooks (25 rec, 322 yards, 1 TD) hasn’t been able to reclaim the magic of his rookie season. Veteran WR Marquees Colston (18 rec, 200 yards, 0 TDs) suffered a separated shoulder last Sunday against the Eagles and is doubtful for Thursday’s game. 

RB Mark Ingram (68 att, 261 yards, 2 TDs) is having a disappointing campaign, averaging 3.8 yards per carry. He has also served as Brees’ third-option with 24 receptions for 220 yards.

New Orleans defense gives up 28.6 points (29th), 273.0 passing yards (23rd), and 135.8 rushing yards (30th) per game. Kenny Vaccaro leads the Saints with 34 tackles, Hau’oli Kikaha has three sacks and Bobby Richardson has three tackles for loss.

Betting Trends Related To This Matchup:

  • Atlanta Falcons 6-4-1 On Road since last season
  • New Orleans Saints 3-7 At Home since last season
  • New Orleans Saints 1-2 As Underdog or PK this season
  • New Orleans Saints 2-1 O-U When Line is >48 this season
  • New Orleans Saints 10-6 O-U When Line is >48 since last season
  • New Orleans Saints 5-1 O-U When Line was 49.5 to 52.5 since last season
  • New Orleans Saints 3-2 O-U vs Teams Averaging >25 PPG since last season

The Falcons are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 Thursday games, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win, 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games in Week 6, 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games in October, 6-2 ATS in their last 8 vs. NFC and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.

The Saints are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Thursday games, 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games as a favorite, 5-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record, 2-5 ATS in their last 7 vs. NFC, 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. NFC South.

My NFL Week 6 Betting Pick: Falcons -3.

PLAYERS OUT OR DOUBTFUL:
  • Atlanta: Devin Hester, Brooks Reed.
  • New Orleans: Marques Colston