Atlanta V San Francisco Spread, Predictions, ATS Pick & Betting PreviewNoah Williams
The Atlanta Falcons will be on the west coast this weekend to face the struggling San Francisco 49ers. Kick-off is scheduled for 4:05 PM ET, this Sunday, November 8th. The NFL week 9 betting spread favors the Falcons by 5-points to beat the 49ers.
Atlanta started 5-0 this season but has stumbled since, going 1-2 straight up over its last three and 0-4 against the spread over its last four. Making things worse, the Falcons are coming off of two disappointing divisional losses in the last three weeks. Both were to teams with worse records. That doesn’t bode well for their push for a high play-off seeding.
The grass isn’t greener in San Francisco. 49ers’ head-coach Jim Tomsula has finally benched the awful Colin Kaepernick in favor of backup Blaine Gabbert. That’s where the story should of ended. Kaepernick out! Gabbert in. Burn your jerseys accordingly. Then an anonymous 49ers source leaked that the team was waiting for the weaker Falcons defense before switching to Gabbert.
Were they trying to insult the Falcons or Gabbert with that one?
Source: The 49ers are benching Colin Kaepernick https://t.co/qNjjD2VjQG
— Kyle McLorg (@Kyle_McLorgBASG) November 3, 2015
Source: 49ers were going to do this last week, but decided to wait so that Gabbert could debut against a weak Falcons defense at home.
— Kyle McLorg (@Kyle_McLorgBASG) November 3, 2015
A Closer Look At Atlanta Falcons at San Francisco 49ers NFL Week 9 Spread & My Betting Preview
What: Atlanta Falcons (6-2) at San Francisco 49ers (2-6)
When: Sunday, November 8, 2015
Kickoff: 4:05 PM ET
Where: Santa Clara, CA
Stadium: Levi’s Stadium
Weather: 67° F | Scattered Clouds
Spread: Falcons -5
Moneyline: Atlanta -300 vs San Francisco +250
Game Total: 45
Stream: Fox Sports Go
Listen: Atlanta vs San Francisco
If You Are Betting On The Atlanta Falcons Odds At -5
The Atlanta Falcons are 6-2 straight up and 4-4 against the spread so far this season. They average 26.6 points (6th), 288.8 passing yards (5th) and 126.0 rushing yards (8th) per game. Last week the Falcons gave the ball away four times – including Matt Ryan’s fumble and interception – leading to 20 points against in last their 23-20 overtime home defeat at the hands of the Bucs.
QB Matt Ryan has thrown for 2399 yards, 11 TDs & 7 INTs this season while completing 67.0% of his passes and posting a 92.3 passer rating. He has struggled over the last two weeks, throwing just three touchdowns and three interceptions over the last two weeks.
WR Julio Jones (70 rec, 892 yards, 6 TDs) has been Ryan’s top target. He leads the NFL in receptions and receiving yards. The star wideout finished with 12 catches for 162 yards and a touchdown last Sunday. After Jones, Ryan hasn’t found much success with his other targets. TE Jacob Tamme (32 rec, 369 yards, 1 TDs) and Leonard Hankerson (22 rec, 291 yards, 2 TDs) should be posting better numbers with opposing defenses focused on Jones.
Second-year breakout rusher Devonta Freeman (152 att, 709 yards, 9 TDs) has been dangerous. He ranks second with 111.0 yards per game and has an NFL-best eight touchdowns since moving into the starting lineup in Week 3.
Atlanta’s defense allows 21.6 points (13th), 262.0 passing yards (24th), and 83.4 rushing yards (3rd) per game. Paul Worrilow leads the team with 51 tackles, and Robert Alford has seven passes deflected.
If You Are Betting On The San Francisco 49ers Odds At +5
San Francisco is 2-6 straight up and 3-5 against the spread so far this season. They average 13.6 points (32nd), 181.1 passing yards (31st), 101.1 rushing yards (18th) per game. The 49ers lost their last two points, scoring a combined 9 points.
QB Colin Kaepernick (1615 yards, 6 TDs & 5 INTs) has been benched for a mental break according to coach Tomsula. Kaepernick ranks 27th with a 59.3 completion percentage with six touchdowns and five interceptions. He went 20 of 41 for 162 yards in last Sunday’s 27-6 loss at St. Louis. Gabbert is a former first-round draft pick for the Jaguars and played well in the preseason. He’s struggled as a started with a 5-22 record, including 10 consecutive losses.
Aging wideouts Anquan Boldin (31 rec, 372 yards, 2 TDs) and Torrey Smith (16 rec, 342 yards, 2 TDs) hope their numbers can improve with a change under-center.
Running backs Pierre Thomas and Shaun Draughn were signed this week because Carlos Hyde (115 att, 470 yards, 3 TDs) has a fractured foot, Reggie Bush (8 att, 28 yards, 0 TDs) tore his MCL in St Louis and Mike Davis has a broken hand.
Betting Trends Related To This Matchup:
- Atlanta Falcons 1-4 As Favorite this season
- Atlanta Falcons 3-8-1 As Favorite since last season
- Atlanta Falcons 0-3 When Line was 43 to 46 this season
- Atlanta Falcons 1-3 When Line was 43 to 46 since last season
- Atlanta Falcons 1-3-1 As Road Favorite since last season
- Atlanta Falcons 1-3 O-U On Road this season
- Atlanta Falcons 3-10 O-U On Road since last season
- San Francisco 49ers 1-3 O-U At Home this season
- San Francisco 49ers 2-9-1 O-U At Home since last season
- San Francisco 49ers 2-3 O-U When Line is <45 this season
- San Francisco 49ers 4-10-1 O-U When Line is <45 since last season
- Atlanta Falcons 1-2 O-U vs Teams Averaging <21 PPG this season
San Francisco’s defense allows 25.9 points (23rd), 280.0 passing yards (27th), and 123.8 rushing yards (23rd) per game. NaVorro Bowman leads the team with 81 tackles, Aaron Lynch has five sacks and Tramaine Brock has seven passes deflected.
The Falcons are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as a road favorite of 3.5-10.0, 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in Week 9, and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
The 49ers are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a S.U. loss, 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a ATS loss, 2-7 ATS in their last 9 home games, 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games in Week 9, 0-6-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
My NFL Week 9 Betting Pick: Atlanta -5.
PLAYERS OUT OR DOUBTFUL
- Atlanta: Devin Hester, Brooks Reed.
- San Francisco: Carlos Hyde, Mike Davis, Reggie Bush.