Atlanta Vs Denver Spread & ATS Pick

Odds & Expert Pick Patriots Vs Broncos

Atlanta Vs Denver Spread & ATS Pick

After torching the Panthers, Matt Ryan, Julio Jones and the Atlanta Falcons are at Mile High to face the defending Super Bowl Champion Denver Broncos. The NFL Week 5 spread favors the Broncos by 6.5-points even with their QB situation in flux.

The game kicks-off on Fox this Sunday, October 9 at 4:05 PM ET, from the Sports Authority Field at Mile High, in Denver, Colorado.

Atlanta Falcons Vs Denver Broncos Spread & ATS Pick

The NFL week 5 betting spread lists the Broncos as 5.5-point favorites to beat the red-hot Falcons. If you want to bet the O/U, the game total is 47.5. The moneyline favors the Broncos at -240 while you can cash in at +200 if you back the Falcons.

What: Atlanta Falcons (3-1) at Denver Broncos (4-0)
When: Sunday, October 9, 2016
Start Time: 4:05 PM ET  
Where: Denver, CO
Stadium: Sports Authority Field at Mile High
Spread: Broncos -5.5
Moneyline: Atlanta +200 vs Denver -240
Game Total: 47.5
Watch: FOX Sports
Stream: Fox Sports Go
Listen: Atlanta vs Denver

Why Bet The Atlanta Falcons To Beat The Broncos

Atlanta has taken charge of the NFC South with a 3-1 SU and 3-1 ATS record. The Falcons annihilated the defending NFC champion Carolina Panthers by a 48-33 score last week, covering the NFL betting spread as 3-point home dogs. They average 38.0 points per game (1st) and allow 31.0 points per game (29th).

"We got Julio the ball in space and when he has the ball in space he’s so explosive," QB Matt Ryan said after the win over the Panthers.

The Falcons average 354.3 passing yards per game (1st). QB Matt Ryan (1473 yards, 11 TDs & 2 INTs) leads the NFL in passing yards. Ryan picked apart the Panthers secondary secondary with precision. He completed 28 of 37 passes for 503 yards, with four touchdowns and one interception.

Julio Jones (22 rec, 488 yards, 3 TDs) had a huge day with 300 receiving yards and one touchdown last week. He was a mere 36 yards short from the all-time record of receiving yards in a game.

Atlanta averages 124.5 rushing yards per game (6th). RB Devonta Freeman (55 car, 322 yards, 1 TD) had only 57 rushing yards against Carolina, but did find the endzone once.

Atlanta has the third worst total defense in the NFL. The Falcons allow 317.0 passing yards (31st) and 102.3 rushing yards per game (16th). They have four sacks this season (31st). Deion Jones and Kemal Ishmael lead the team with 30 tackles, each.

Why Bet The Denver Broncos To Beat The Falcons

The Broncos remain undefeated after beating the Tampa Bay Buccaneers by a 27-7 score in their last outing. They improved to 4-0 SU and ATS. They average 27.8 points per game (5th) and allow 16.0 points per game (5th).

Denver averages 236.5 passing yards per game (23rd). Starting QB Trevor Siemian left the game against the Bucs in the second quarter with a shoulder injury and rookie QB Paxton Lynch (92 yards, 1 TD 6 0 INT) finished the game in Tampa Bay. Siemian has improved this week, but will not be declared the starter until after he throws on Saturday.

Having WR Demaryius Thomas (21 rec, 332 yards, 2 TDs) as their main target makes the life easy for QBs in Denver. Throw in WR Emmanuel Sanders (25 rec, 293 yards, 3 TDs) as their second option and I could be the Broncos starting QB.

The Broncos average 105.8 rushing yards per game (14th). CJ Anderson (73 car, 252 yards, 3 TDs) has found the end zone in three of the four games this season.

The Broncos have the 5th total defense in the NFL. They allow 170.0 passing yards per game (3rd) and 113.8 rushing yards per game (22nd). Denver leads the NFL with 17 sacks in four games. Brandon Marshall has 25 tackles, and Von Miller has 5.5 sacks.

Betting Trends for this Matchup:

  • Atlanta is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
  • Atlanta is 5-11 ATS in its last 16 games
  • Atlanta is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
  • Atlanta is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing Denver
  • Denver is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
  • Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
  • Denver is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
  • Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Expert ATS Pick & Final Score Prediction

The games pits the NFL’s top offense against the league’s top defense. It is time to find out if scoring or defenses win.

In their last three games, the Broncos have won each by at least 12 points, and have allowed no more than 20 points to their opponents while scoring at least 27 in each game themselves. On the flip side, the Falcons have given up at least 28 points in every game this season.

My final score prediction is Atlanta 20, Denver 28.